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North America T20 Cup · 2025 · Men
26 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bermuda started on 48%; Bermuda batted first.
Bermuda's chances ranged from 0% to 67% during the match (United States of America: 34% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Scotlandnot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 57* | 57 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
| AD Dorecaught · Saiteja Mukkamalla · A Desai 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Saiteja Mukkamalla · b A Desai | 14 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 175.00 |
| Onais Bascomebowled · Milind Kumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Milind Kumar | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Delray Rawlinslbw · Milind Kumar0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Milind Kumar | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| JDA Richardsoncaught · Ali Sheikh · A Desai 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ali Sheikh · b A Desai | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 37.50 |
| D Sabircaught · A Desai · Yasir Mohammad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Desai · b Yasir Mohammad | 11 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 55.00 |
|---|
| Allan Douglasstumped · Shayan Jahangir · Yasir Mohammad 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Shayan Jahangir · b Yasir Mohammad | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 55.56 |
|---|
| Sinclair Smithcaught · Shayan Jahangir · Jasdeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shayan Jahangir · b Jasdeep Singh | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Derrick Brangmannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 1 |
| Saurabh Netravalkar0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 1 |
| A Desai0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 9.00 | 2 | 2 |
| Milind Kumar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Yasir Mohammad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Ali Sheikh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (AD Dore, 2.3) · 2-34 (Onais Bascome, 3.4) · 3-39 (Delray Rawlins, 5.2) · 4-45 (JDA Richardson, 7.0) · 5-72 (D Sabir, 12.1) · 6-82 (Allan Douglas, 14.3) · 7-92 (Sinclair Smith, 16.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 31/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 34/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 37/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 40/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 45/4 |
| 8 | 5 | 50/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 53/4 |
| 10 | 6 | 59/4 |
| 11 | 10 | 69/4 |
| 12 | 3 | 72/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 78/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 81/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 84/6 |
| 16 | 6 | 90/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 94/7 |
| 18 | 9 | 103/7 |
| 19 | 5 | 108/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 114/7 |
Delray Rawlins: BugWarp · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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