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North America T20 Cup · 2025 · Men
21 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bermuda started on 52%; Bermuda batted first.
Bermuda's chances ranged from 0% to 55% during the match (United States of America: 45% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terryn Fraystumped · Shayan Jahangir · Milind Kumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Shayan Jahangir · b Milind Kumar | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| AD Dorebowled · Ali Sheikh 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ali Sheikh | 16 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| JDA Richardsoncaught and bowled · Ali Sheikh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Ali Sheikh | 10 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
 Delray Rawlinsbowled · Ali Sheikh2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ali Sheikh | 18 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 85.71 |
| D Sabircaught · Sanjay Krishnamurthi · Ali Sheikh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sanjay Krishnamurthi · b Ali Sheikh |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Allan Douglascaught and bowled · Yasir Mohammad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Yasir Mohammad | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Derrick Brangmancaught · Saurabh Netravalkar · Yasir Mohammad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saurabh Netravalkar · b Yasir Mohammad | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sinclair Smithcaught and bowled · Yasir Mohammad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Yasir Mohammad | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| J Proctorcaught · Sanjay Krishnamurthi · Yasir Mohammad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sanjay Krishnamurthi · b Yasir Mohammad | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 35.71 |
|---|
| Zeko Burgesscaught · Jasdeep Singh · Ali Sheikh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jasdeep Singh · b Ali Sheikh | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Kevon Fublernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 8 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saurabh Netravalkar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Milind Kumar0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 5.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 2 | 2 |
| Yasir Mohammad1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 3.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Ali Sheikh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| B Akhilesh Reddy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-18 (Terryn Fray, 4.2) · 2-38 (JDA Richardson, 7.4) · 3-45 (AD Dore, 9.1) · 4-49 (D Sabir, 10.0) · 5-53 (Allan Douglas, 11.1) · 6-53 (Derrick Brangman, 11.2) · 7-53 (Sinclair Smith, 11.4) · 8-68 (Delray Rawlins, 15.3) · 9-68 (Zeko Burgess, 16.0) · 10-70 (J Proctor, 16.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 18/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 23/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 30/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 34/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 39/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 45/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 49/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 53/4 |
| 12 | 0 | 53/7 |
| 13 | 2 | 55/7 |
| 14 | 5 | 60/7 |
| 15 | 2 | 62/7 |
| 16 | 6 | 68/9 |
| 17 | 2 | 70/10 |
Delray Rawlins: BugWarp · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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