Barbados TridentsversusTrinbago Knight Riders

28 Aug 2026 · T20

Queen's Park Oval, Port of Spain, Trinidad · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Trinbago Knight Riders won by 7 wickets

Barbados Tridents20.0 overs127/9 Trinbago Knight Riders14.5 overs128/3 Queen's Park Oval, Port of Spain, Trinidad ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Barbados Tridents started on 43%; Barbados Tridents batted first.

Barbados Tridents’s chance of winning (%) · Trinbago Knight Riders is the rest

Barbados Tridents's chances ranged from 0% to 49% during the match (Trinbago Knight Riders: 51% to 100%).

Biggest swings

3.5: AJ Hosein to ZN Carter, six by ZN Carter. Barbados Tridents up from 44% to 49%.
4.2: SP Narine to S Brathwaite, S Brathwaite out. Trinbago Knight Riders up from 53% to 63%.
8.1: JU Goolie to Q de Kock, Q de Kock out. Trinbago Knight Riders up from 70% to 76%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Barbados Tridents127/9 Trinbago Knight Riders128/3

Innings 1