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Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
22 Dec 2025 · T20
Manuka Oval, Canberra · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Thunder started on 45%; Sydney Thunder batted first.
Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Brisbane Heat: 0% to 55%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Konstascaught · Colin Munro · Jack Wildermuth8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Colin Munro · b Jack Wildermuth | 63 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 140.00 |
| Matthew Gilkeslbw · Shaheen Afridi 4 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b Shaheen Afridi | 76 | 48 | 4 | 3 | 158.33 |
 Sam Billingscaught · Shaheen Afridi · Matthew Kuhnemann2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Shaheen Afridi · b Matthew Kuhnemann | 25 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 227.27 |
 David Warnercaught · Tom Alsop · Jack Wildermuth1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Alsop · b Jack Wildermuth |
| 7 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 175.00 |
 Daniel Samsnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 10 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Chris Greennot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shaheen Afridi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 13.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Liam Haskett0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Matthew Kuhnemann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Wildermuth0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Renshaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-127 (Sam Konstas, 13.2) · 2-162 (Sam Billings, 16.1) · 3-175 (David Warner, 17.2) · 4-183 (Matthew Gilkes, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 17 | 21/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 29/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 37/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 46/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 55/0 |
| 7 | 14 | 69/0 |
| 8 | 15 | 84/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 89/0 |
| 10 | 11 | 100/0 |
| 11 | 5 | 105/0 |
| 12 | 14 | 119/0 |
| 13 | 7 | 126/0 |
| 14 | 5 | 131/1 |
| 15 | 13 | 144/1 |
| 16 | 18 | 162/1 |
| 17 | 9 | 171/2 |
| 18 | 6 | 177/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 183/4 |
| 20 | 10 | 193/4 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
James Peirson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Colin Munro: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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