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Continental Cup · 2024 · Men
26 May 2024 · IT20
Recorded result
Gibraltar more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Gibraltar started on 54%; Gibraltar batted first.
Gibraltar's chances ranged from 0% to 58% during the match (Hungary: 42% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C Pylebowled · Muhammad Saqlain 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Saqlain | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| A Reyesrun out · R Rajendran · Muhammad Saqlain 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · R Rajendran | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| IDM Latinbowled · HV Mandhyan 5 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b HV Mandhyan | 30 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 107.14 |
| J Marplescaught · Sheikh Rasik · Muhammad Burhan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sheikh Rasik · b Muhammad Burhan | 14 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 70.00 |
| M Whelanbowled · Muhammad Burhan 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Burhan | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
| K Mirpuri |
| caught · Muhammad Saqlain · b Mueez ul Hassan |
| 31 |
| 27 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 114.81 |
| JA Fitzgeraldbowled · Sheikh Rasik 2 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b Sheikh Rasik | 38 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 200.00 |
|---|
| S Bodharun out · V Ravindran · Mueez ul Hassan 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · V Ravindran | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| M Gouwsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 16 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Saqlain0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 6 | 0 |
| Sheikh Rasik1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Muhammad Burhan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 2 | 0 |
| M Fontaine0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 15.00 | 4 | 0 |
| HV Mandhyan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Mueez ul Hassan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-8 (C Pyle, 2.2) · 2-8 (A Reyes, 2.4) · 3-62 (IDM Latin, 9.3) · 4-69 (M Whelan, 10.3) · 5-76 (J Marples, 12.3) · 6-129 (JA Fitzgerald, 17.2) · 7-149 (K Mirpuri, 19.5) · 8-150 (S Bodha, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 13/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 17/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 20/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 27/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 32/2 |
| 8 | 17 | 49/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 60/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 67/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 72/4 |
| 12 | 3 | 75/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 77/5 |
| 14 | 13 | 90/5 |
| 15 | 10 | 100/5 |
| 16 | 10 | 110/5 |
| 17 | 18 | 128/5 |
| 18 | 3 | 131/6 |
| 19 | 13 | 144/6 |
| 20 | 6 | 150/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.