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Photo: Mattbuck
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
7 Jun 2026 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
The Blaze started on 64%; The Blaze batted first.
The Blaze's chances ranged from 21% to 98% during the match (Lancashire: 2% to 79%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Kellycaught · Seren Smale · Grace Potts 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Seren Smale · b Grace Potts | 13 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Tammy Beaumontcaught · Grace Johnson · VV Weerappuli8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Grace Johnson · b VV Weerappuli | 59 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 147.50 |
| Charli Knottcaught · TN Kesteven · Grace Potts 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · TN Kesteven · b Grace Potts | 11 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 91.67 |
 Georgia Elwisscaught · Evelyn Jones · Tara Norris1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Evelyn Jones · b Tara Norris | 10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 90.91 |
| caught · Meg Lanning · b Fi Morris |
| 5 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 55.56 |
| Emma Jonescaught · VV Weerappuli · Grace Potts 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · VV Weerappuli · b Grace Potts | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| PV Thanawalacaught · Eleanor Threlkeld · Grace Potts 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Eleanor Threlkeld · b Grace Potts | 16 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Kirstie Gordoncaught · Meg Lanning · Kate Cross0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Meg Lanning · b Kate Cross | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 88.89 |
|---|
| Grace Ballingercaught · Kate Cross · Grace Potts 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kate Cross · b Grace Potts | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Charley Phillipsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| M Andrewsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kate Cross0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Tara Norris0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Grace Potts0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Grace Johnson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| VV Weerappuli0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Fi Morris0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (Marie Kelly, 2.3) · 2-40 (Charli Knott, 5.4) · 3-56 (Georgia Elwiss, 8.4) · 4-75 (Ella Claridge, 11.4) · 5-92 (Emma Jones, 13.1) · 6-114 (Tammy Beaumont, 16.1) · 7-130 (Kirstie Gordon, 18.5) · 8-132 (PV Thanawala, 19.1) · 9-135 (Grace Ballinger, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 31/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 46/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 50/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 57/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 63/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 72/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 78/4 |
| 13 | 14 | 92/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 97/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 103/5 |
| 16 | 11 | 114/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 119/6 |
| 18 | 8 | 127/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 132/7 |
| 20 | 3 | 135/9 |
Eleanor Threlkeld: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Meg Lanning: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kate Cross: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fi Morris: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tammy Beaumont: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kirstie Gordon: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Georgia Elwiss: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Evelyn Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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