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Photo: user:jguk
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
2 Jun 2024 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSurrey started on 42%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 22% to 100% during the match (Somerset: 0% to 78%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Lammonby · b Riley Meredith | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Laurie Evanscaught · Tom Lammonby · Craig Overton 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Lammonby · b Craig Overton | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Lammonby · b Riley Meredith | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 112.50 |
3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Roelof van der Merwe |
| 32 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 125.00 |
7 fours · 7 sixes | bowled · b Ben Green | 87 | 38 | 7 | 7 | 228.95 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sean Dickson · b Ben Green | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Banton · b Ben Green | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Riley Meredith | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Cameron Steelnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Gus Atkinsoncaught · Sean Dickson · Ben Green 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sean Dickson · b Ben Green | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Spencer Johnsonbowled · Jake Ball 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jake Ball | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 3 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ben Green0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 4 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-7 (Laurie Evans, 1.0) · 2-7 (Daniel Lawrence, 1.1) · 3-28 (Jason Roy, 3.5) · 4-139 (Ollie Pope, 13.1) · 5-152 (Jordan Clark, 15.2) · 6-153 (Jamie Smith, 15.4) · 7-154 (Tom Curran, 16.0) · 8-156 (Sean Abbott, 16.5) · 9-157 (Gus Atkinson, 17.3) · 10-163 (Spencer Johnson, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 11/2 |
| 3 | 6 | 17/2 |
| 4 | 15 | 32/3 |
| 5 | 7 | 39/3 |
| 6 | 11 | 50/3 |
| 7 | 11 | 61/3 |
| 8 | 16 | 77/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 84/3 |
| 10 | 14 | 98/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 107/3 |
| 12 | 12 | 119/3 |
| 13 | 20 | 139/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 142/4 |
| 15 | 8 | 150/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 154/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 157/8 |
| 18 | 1 | 158/9 |
| 19 | 5 | 163/10 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.