Islamabad UnitedversusHyderabad Kingsmen

12 Apr 2026 · T20

National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Hyderabad Kingsmen won by 6 wickets

Islamabad United20.0 overs153/9 Hyderabad Kingsmen18.1 overs157/4 National Stadium, Karachi ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Islamabad United started on 54%; Islamabad United batted first.

Islamabad United’s chance of winning (%) · Hyderabad Kingsmen is the rest

Islamabad United's chances ranged from 0% to 76% during the match (Hyderabad Kingsmen: 24% to 100%).

Biggest swings

5.5: Mohammad Ali to Sameer Minhas, Sameer Minhas out. Hyderabad Kingsmen up from 26% to 34%.
13.3: GJ Maxwell to Haider Ali, Haider Ali out. Hyderabad Kingsmen up from 49% to 55%.
2nd inns 15.6: Salman Irshad to M Labuschagne, four by M Labuschagne. Hyderabad Kingsmen up from 87% to 95%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Islamabad United153/9 Hyderabad Kingsmen157/4

Innings 1