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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
13 Jul 2025 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 43%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 2% to 51% during the match (Lancashire: 49% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Graham Clarkcaught · James Anderson · Luke Wood1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · James Anderson · b Luke Wood | 13 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 130.00 |
 Alex Leescaught and bowled · Chris Green1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Chris Green | 11 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 68.75 |
| David Bedinghamstumped · Jos Buttler · Chris Green 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Jos Buttler · b Chris Green | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
 Colin Ackermannbowled · Luke Wood4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Luke Wood | 42 | 35 | 4 |
| 0 |
| 120.00 |
 Ollie Robinsoncaught · Jack Blatherwick · Tom Hartley4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Blatherwick · b Tom Hartley | 35 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 159.09 |
|---|
| James Neeshamcaught · Luke Wood · Chris Green 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luke Wood · b Chris Green | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Will Rhodesnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 13 | 0 | 0 | 84.62 |
|---|
| Kasey Aldridgecaught · Luke Wells · James Anderson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luke Wells · b James Anderson | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Matthew Pottsnot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 17* | 7 | 1 | 1 | 242.86 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Anderson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Luke Wood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Green0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 3.75 | 2 | 0 |
 Tom Hartley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Luke Wells0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Blatherwick0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 13.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (Graham Clark, 2.0) · 2-33 (David Bedingham, 4.0) · 3-46 (Alex Lees, 7.0) · 4-114 (Ollie Robinson, 14.0) · 5-119 (Colin Ackermann, 15.3) · 6-125 (James Neesham, 16.3) · 7-134 (Kasey Aldridge, 18.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 32/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 34/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 40/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 46/3 |
| 8 | 10 | 56/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 65/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 73/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 79/3 |
| 12 | 18 | 97/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 104/3 |
| 14 | 10 | 114/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 117/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 123/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 128/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 134/7 |
| 19 | 15 | 149/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 155/7 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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