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Women Central Europe Cup · 2024 · Women
14 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Czech Republic more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Croatia started on 42%; Croatia batted first.
Croatia's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Czech Republic: 0% to 58%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E Vukusicnot out 9 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 85* | 69 | 9 | 0 | 123.19 |
| H Lekocaught · R Pavlickova · J Kominkova 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Pavlickova · b J Kominkova | 7 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 43.75 |
| L Krvaricnot out 5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 57* | 46 | 5 | 0 | 123.91 |
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 29 · noballs: 11 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Kolcunova0 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 8 | 0 |
| 1.0 |
| 0 |
| 15 |
| 0 |
| 15.00 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| S Kolcunova0 maidens · 3 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 3 | 2 |
|---|
| A Kshirsagar0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| R Pavlickova0 maidens · 5 wides · 3 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 5 | 3 |
|---|
| J Kominkova0 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 3 |
|---|
| E Kuncova0 maidens · 7 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 11.75 | 7 | 2 |
|---|
1-60 (H Leko, 6.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 36/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 46/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 54/0 |
| 7 | 10 | 64/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 74/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 82/1 |
| 10 | 11 | 93/1 |
| 11 | 12 | 105/1 |
| 12 | 8 | 113/1 |
| 13 | 15 | 128/1 |
| 14 | 12 | 140/1 |
| 15 | 7 | 147/1 |
| 16 | 10 | 157/1 |
| 17 | 6 | 163/1 |
| 18 | 10 | 173/1 |
| 19 | 7 | 180/1 |
| 20 | 11 | 191/1 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.