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Women's T20 Quadrangular Series (in Thailand) · 2025/26 · Women
14 Nov 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Papua New Guinea more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 36%; Scotland batted first.
Scotland's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Papua New Guinea: 0% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ailsa Listercaught · Mairi Tom · HJ Thomas 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mairi Tom · b HJ Thomas | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Darcey Carternot out 11 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 71* | 59 | 11 | 0 | 120.34 |
| Ellen Watsoncaught · Naoani Vare · Isabel Toua 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Naoani Vare · b Isabel Toua | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Sarah Brycebowled · Pauke Siaka 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Pauke Siaka | 23 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 121.05 |
| Megan McColllbw · Geua Tom 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Geua Tom | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 110.00 |
| Priyanaz Chatterji |
| not out |
| 21* |
| 15 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 140.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mairi Tom0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 2 | 0 |
| HJ Thomas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Geua Tom0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Isabel Toua0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 1 | 1 |
| Pauke Siaka0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| D Lohia0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 1 |
1-19 (Ailsa Lister, 2.0) · 2-46 (Ellen Watson, 5.4) · 3-90 (Sarah Bryce, 12.2) · 4-116 (Megan McColl, 16.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 19/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 16 | 45/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 46/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 48/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 51/2 |
| 9 | 10 | 61/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 72/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 77/2 |
| 12 | 12 | 89/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 96/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 103/3 |
| 15 | 7 | 110/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 116/4 |
| 17 | 4 | 120/4 |
| 18 | 8 | 128/4 |
| 19 | 10 | 138/4 |
| 20 | 8 | 146/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.