OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: G patkar
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
England tour of India · 2024/25 · Men
2 Feb 2025 · T20
Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 80%; India batted first.
India's chances ranged from 79% to 100% during the match (England: 0% to 21%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sanju Samsoncaught · Jofra Archer · Mark Wood1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jofra Archer · b Mark Wood | 16 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 228.57 |
| Abhishek Sharmacaught · Jofra Archer · Adil Rashid 7 fours · 13 sixes | caught · Jofra Archer · b Adil Rashid | 135 | 54 | 7 | 13 | 250.00 |
 Tilak Varmacaught · Philip Salt · Brydon Carse3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Philip Salt · b Brydon Carse | 24 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 160.00 |
 Suryakumar Yadavcaught · Philip Salt · Brydon Carse0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Philip Salt · b Brydon Carse |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
 Shivam Dubecaught · Adil Rashid · Brydon Carse3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Adil Rashid · b Brydon Carse | 30 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 230.77 |
|---|
 Hardik Pandyacaught · Liam Livingstone · Mark Wood0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Liam Livingstone · b Mark Wood | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Rinku Singhlbw · Jofra Archer 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jofra Archer | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Axar Patelrun out · Philip Salt, Liam Livingstone · Jamie Overton2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Philip Salt, Liam Livingstone | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 136.36 |
|---|
 Mohammed Shaminot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ravi Bishnoicaught · Brydon Carse · Jamie Overton 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brydon Carse · b Jamie Overton | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jofra Archer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 55 | 1 | 13.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Mark Wood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Jamie Overton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 48 | 1 | 16.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Livingstone0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 14.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Adil Rashid0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 13.67 | 2 | 0 |
 Brydon Carse0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 3 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-21 (Sanju Samson, 1.5) · 2-136 (Tilak Varma, 9.0) · 3-145 (Suryakumar Yadav, 10.2) · 4-182 (Shivam Dube, 13.2) · 5-193 (Hardik Pandya, 14.4) · 6-202 (Rinku Singh, 15.5) · 7-237 (Abhishek Sharma, 18.0) · 8-247 (Axar Patel, 19.5) · 9-247 (Ravi Bishnoi, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 16/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 21/1 |
| 3 | 18 | 39/1 |
| 4 | 16 | 55/1 |
| 5 | 25 | 80/1 |
| 6 | 15 | 95/1 |
| 7 | 16 | 111/1 |
| 8 | 16 | 127/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 136/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 143/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 148/3 |
| 12 | 13 | 161/3 |
| 13 | 17 | 178/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 185/4 |
| 15 | 9 | 194/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 202/6 |
| 17 | 17 | 219/6 |
| 18 | 18 | 237/7 |
| 19 | 3 | 240/7 |
| 20 | 7 | 247/9 |
Sanju Samson: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Hardik Pandya: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Suryakumar Yadav: Kolkata Knight Riders - Official · CC BY 3.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Mark Wood: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shivam Dube: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adil Rashid: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Tilak Varma: Buchi Babu Sana · CC BY 4.0
Mohammed Shami: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
_(Archer_cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}