Lahore QalandarsversusQuetta Gladiators

19 Feb 2024 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Quetta Gladiators won by 5 wickets

Lahore Qalandars20.0 overs187/7 Quetta Gladiators19.1 overs188/5 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lahore Qalandars started on 60%; Lahore Qalandars batted first.

Lahore Qalandars’s chance of winning (%) · Quetta Gladiators is the rest

Lahore Qalandars's chances ranged from 1% to 69% during the match (Quetta Gladiators: 31% to 99%).

Biggest swings

2.1: AJ Hosein to Fakhar Zaman, Fakhar Zaman out. Quetta Gladiators up from 41% to 53%.
2nd inns 7.2: Sikandar Raza to JJ Roy, JJ Roy out. Lahore Qalandars up from 36% to 49%.
2nd inns 10.3: Haris Rauf to RR Rossouw, RR Rossouw out. Lahore Qalandars up from 29% to 41%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lahore Qalandars187/7 Quetta Gladiators188/5

Innings 1