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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
5 Jun 2026 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
Yorkshire started on 52%; Yorkshire batted first.
Yorkshire's chances ranged from 51% to 100% during the match (Lancashire: 0% to 49%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Lythcaught · Ben McDermott · Tom Aspinwall3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ben McDermott · b Tom Aspinwall | 20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 285.71 |
 Jonny Bairstowcaught · J Moores · Liam Livingstone7 fours · 4 sixes | caught · J Moores · b Liam Livingstone | 73 | 44 | 7 | 4 | 165.91 |
 William Luxtoncaught · Ben McDermott · Tom Hartley1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Ben McDermott · b Tom Hartley | 34 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 121.43 |
| James Whartonnot out 2 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 35* | 16 | 2 |
| 3 |
| 218.75 |
 Moeen Alibowled · Tom Hartley0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tom Hartley | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Matt Reviscaught · Liam Livingstone · Tom Aspinwall1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Liam Livingstone · b Tom Aspinwall | 23 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 176.92 |
|---|
| Fahim Ashrafcaught · J Moores · Tom Aspinwall 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Moores · b Tom Aspinwall | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Andrew Tyelbw · Saqib Mahmood1 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Saqib Mahmood | 16 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 200.00 |
|---|
 Hasan Alinot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luke Wood1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Saqib Mahmood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 60 | 1 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Aspinwall0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 10.67 | 5 | 0 |
 Tom Hartley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Liam Livingstone0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Harry Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-30 (Adam Lyth, 2.3) · 2-135 (Jonny Bairstow, 12.5) · 3-137 (William Luxton, 13.3) · 4-137 (Moeen Ali, 13.5) · 5-192 (Matt Revis, 18.1) · 6-192 (Fahim Ashraf, 18.2) · 7-209 (Andrew Tye, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 17 | 25/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 35/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 39/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 18 | 57/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 69/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 73/1 |
| 9 | 18 | 91/1 |
| 10 | 16 | 107/1 |
| 11 | 16 | 123/1 |
| 12 | 11 | 134/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 136/2 |
| 14 | 2 | 138/4 |
| 15 | 9 | 147/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 157/4 |
| 17 | 15 | 172/4 |
| 18 | 20 | 192/4 |
| 19 | 4 | 196/6 |
| 20 | 17 | 213/7 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Andrew Tye: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Marcus Harris: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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