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Photo: Mnnngchris at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
6 Jun 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Derby · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 38%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 0% to 39% during the match (The Blaze: 61% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kathryn Bryce | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Grace Scrivenscaught · Michaela Kirk · Josie Groves 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michaela Kirk · b Josie Groves | 19 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 90.48 |
| Alice Macleodrun out · Ella Claridge · Cassidy McCarthy 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ella Claridge | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
| Cordelia Griffithcaught · Marie Kelly · Cassidy McCarthy 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marie Kelly · b Cassidy McCarthy | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| bowled · b Kirstie Gordon |
| 17 |
| 26 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 65.38 |
| Jo Gardnercaught · Kathryn Bryce · Cassidy McCarthy 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kathryn Bryce · b Cassidy McCarthy | 22 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Maddy Green | 16 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Eva Graybowled · Kathryn Bryce 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kathryn Bryce | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Kate Coppackrun out · Kathryn Bryce · Georgia Elwiss 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Kathryn Bryce | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Esmae MacGregornot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Abtaha Maqsoodrun out · Maddy Green · Georgia Elwiss 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Maddy Green | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Ballinger0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kathryn Bryce1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 2.87 | 2 | 0 |
| Cassidy McCarthy0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 4 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 3.25 | 1 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 | |
| Josie Groves0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Lauren Winfield, 0.5) · 2-14 (Alice Macleod, 3.3) · 3-15 (Cordelia Griffith, 3.5) · 4-44 (Grace Scrivens, 10.0) · 5-44 (Madeline Penna, 10.3) · 6-86 (Sophia Smale, 16.5) · 7-92 (Jo Gardner, 17.5) · 8-96 (Eva Gray, 18.5) · 9-103 (Kate Coppack, 19.5) · 10-104 (Abtaha Maqsood, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 9/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 15/3 |
| 5 | 5 | 20/3 |
| 6 | 5 | 25/3 |
| 7 | 10 | 35/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 38/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 41/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 44/4 |
| 11 | 1 | 45/5 |
| 12 | 6 | 51/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 56/5 |
| 14 | 11 | 67/5 |
| 15 | 8 | 75/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 83/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 88/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 92/7 |
| 19 | 5 | 97/8 |
| 20 | 7 | 104/10 |
Maddy Green: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Madeline Penna: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kirstie Gordon: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Winfield: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Georgia Elwiss: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophia Smale: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.