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England tour of India · 2023/24 · Men
15 Feb 2024 · Test
Saurashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Rajkot · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalcaught · Joe Root · Mark Wood2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b Mark Wood | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Rohit Sharmacaught · Ben Stokes · Mark Wood14 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Ben Stokes · b Mark Wood | 131 | 196 | 14 | 3 | 66.84 |
 Shubman Gillcaught · Ben Foakes · Mark Wood0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Foakes · b Mark Wood | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught · Ben Duckett · b Tom Hartley |
| 5 |
| 15 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
 Ravindra Jadejacaught and bowled · Joe Root9 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Joe Root | 112 | 225 | 9 | 2 | 49.78 |
|---|
| Sarfaraz Khanrun out · Mark Wood · James Anderson 9 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Mark Wood | 62 | 66 | 9 | 1 | 93.94 |
|---|
 Kuldeep Yadavcaught · Ben Foakes · James Anderson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Foakes · b James Anderson | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Dhruv Jurelcaught · Ben Foakes · Rehan Ahmed 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Ben Foakes · b Rehan Ahmed | 46 | 104 | 2 | 3 | 44.23 |
|---|
 Ravichandran Ashwincaught · James Anderson · Rehan Ahmed6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Anderson · b Rehan Ahmed | 37 | 89 | 6 | 0 | 41.57 |
|---|
 Jasprit Bumrahlbw · Mark Wood3 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Mark Wood | 26 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 92.86 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 21 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 1 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Anderson7 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 25.0 | 7 | 61 | 1 | 2.44 | 0 | 1 |
 Mark Wood2 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 27.5 | 2 | 114 | 4 | 4.10 | 1 | 1 |
 Tom Hartley7 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 40.0 | 7 | 109 | 1 | 2.73 | 0 | 0 |
 Joe Root3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.0 | 3 | 70 | 1 | 4.38 | 0 | 0 |
 Rehan Ahmed2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 22.0 | 2 | 85 | 2 | 3.86 | 0 | 0 |
1-22 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 3.5) · 2-24 (Shubman Gill, 5.4) · 3-33 (Rajat Patidar, 8.5) · 4-237 (Rohit Sharma, 63.3) · 5-314 (Sarfaraz Khan, 81.5) · 6-331 (Kuldeep Yadav, 89.4) · 7-331 (Ravindra Jadeja, 90.5) · 8-408 (Ravichandran Ashwin, 120.0) · 9-415 (Dhruv Jurel, 123.5) · 10-445 (Jasprit Bumrah, 130.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 22/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 23/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 24/2 |
| 7 | 1 | 25/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 32/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 33/3 |
| 10 | 1 | 34/3 |
| 11 | 0 | 34/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 39/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 49/3 |
| 14 | 1 | 50/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 56/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 62/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 67/3 |
| 18 | 0 | 67/3 |
| 19 | 4 | 71/3 |
| 20 | 0 | 71/3 |
| 21 | 1 | 72/3 |
| 22 | 6 | 78/3 |
| 23 | 3 | 81/3 |
| 24 | 9 | 90/3 |
| 25 | 3 | 93/3 |
| 26 | 7 | 100/3 |
| 27 | 1 | 101/3 |
| 28 | 6 | 107/3 |
| 29 | 0 | 107/3 |
| 30 | 2 | 109/3 |
| 31 | 2 | 111/3 |
| 32 | 0 | 111/3 |
| 33 | 8 | 119/3 |
| 34 | 2 | 121/3 |
| 35 | 2 | 123/3 |
| 36 | 0 | 123/3 |
| 37 | 3 | 126/3 |
| 38 | 4 | 130/3 |
| 39 | 3 | 133/3 |
| 40 | 6 | 139/3 |
| 41 | 4 | 143/3 |
| 42 | 1 | 144/3 |
| 43 | 2 | 146/3 |
| 44 | 4 | 150/3 |
| 45 | 2 | 152/3 |
| 46 | 8 | 160/3 |
| 47 | 5 | 165/3 |
| 48 | 5 | 170/3 |
| 49 | 4 | 174/3 |
| 50 | 1 | 175/3 |
| 51 | 3 | 178/3 |
| 52 | 7 | 185/3 |
| 53 | 5 | 190/3 |
| 54 | 3 | 193/3 |
| 55 | 2 | 195/3 |
| 56 | 5 | 200/3 |
| 57 | 2 | 202/3 |
| 58 | 2 | 204/3 |
| 59 | 2 | 206/3 |
| 60 | 8 | 214/3 |
| 61 | 10 | 224/3 |
| 62 | 6 | 230/3 |
| 63 | 5 | 235/3 |
| 64 | 2 | 237/4 |
| 65 | 1 | 238/4 |
| 66 | 4 | 242/4 |
| 67 | 2 | 244/4 |
| 68 | 2 | 246/4 |
| 69 | 7 | 253/4 |
| 70 | 5 | 258/4 |
| 71 | 1 | 259/4 |
| 72 | 6 | 265/4 |
| 73 | 4 | 269/4 |
| 74 | 7 | 276/4 |
| 75 | 9 | 285/4 |
| 76 | 6 | 291/4 |
| 77 | 8 | 299/4 |
| 78 | 7 | 306/4 |
| 79 | 4 | 310/4 |
| 80 | 0 | 310/4 |
| 81 | 0 | 310/4 |
| 82 | 5 | 315/5 |
| 83 | 0 | 315/5 |
| 84 | 0 | 315/5 |
| 85 | 6 | 321/5 |
| 86 | 5 | 326/5 |
| 87 | 2 | 328/5 |
| 88 | 2 | 330/5 |
| 89 | 0 | 330/5 |
| 90 | 1 | 331/6 |
| 91 | 0 | 331/7 |
| 92 | 0 | 331/7 |
| 93 | 5 | 336/7 |
| 94 | 2 | 338/7 |
| 95 | 8 | 346/7 |
| 96 | 0 | 346/7 |
| 97 | 1 | 347/7 |
| 98 | 5 | 352/7 |
| 99 | 0 | 352/7 |
| 100 | 1 | 353/7 |
| 101 | 1 | 354/7 |
| 102 | 5 | 359/7 |
| 103 | 0 | 359/7 |
| 104 | 5 | 364/7 |
| 105 | 1 | 365/7 |
| 106 | 3 | 368/7 |
| 107 | 1 | 369/7 |
| 108 | 4 | 373/7 |
| 109 | 2 | 375/7 |
| 110 | 5 | 380/7 |
| 111 | 2 | 382/7 |
| 112 | 2 | 384/7 |
| 113 | 4 | 388/7 |
| 114 | 4 | 392/7 |
| 115 | 2 | 394/7 |
| 116 | 5 | 399/7 |
| 117 | 1 | 400/7 |
| 118 | 1 | 401/7 |
| 119 | 0 | 401/7 |
| 120 | 7 | 408/8 |
| 121 | 0 | 408/8 |
| 122 | 0 | 408/8 |
| 123 | 1 | 409/8 |
| 124 | 6 | 415/9 |
| 125 | 2 | 417/9 |
| 126 | 0 | 417/9 |
| 127 | 9 | 426/9 |
| 128 | 8 | 434/9 |
| 129 | 2 | 436/9 |
| 130 | 1 | 437/9 |
| 131 | 8 | 445/10 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Mark Wood: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Foakes: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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