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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
10 Jul 2026 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 53%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 44% to 100% during the match (Yorkshire: 0% to 56%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Jenningscaught · Adam Lyth · Dan Moriarty 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Adam Lyth · b Dan Moriarty | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Ben McDermottcaught · Andrew Tye · JA Chohan 6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Andrew Tye · b JA Chohan | 46 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 200.00 |
| Liam Livingstonecaught · Jonny Bairstow · Logan van Beek 4 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Jonny Bairstow · b Logan van Beek | 60 | 39 | 4 | 4 | 153.85 |
| Matthew Hurstcaught · Moeen Ali · Logan van Beek 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Moeen Ali · b Logan van Beek | 17 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 154.55 |
 Shadab Khancaught · Andrew Tye · Logan van Beek3 fours · 2 sixes |
| caught · Andrew Tye · b Logan van Beek |
| 38 |
| 20 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 190.00 |
 Michael Jonesnot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 24* | 17 | 1 | 1 | 141.18 |
|---|
| Jack Blatherwickcaught · Joe Root · Hasan Ali 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b Hasan Ali | 15 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 250.00 |
|---|
| J Mooresnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hasan Ali0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 11.75 | 2 | 0 |
 Dan Moriarty0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Andrew Tye0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan van Beek0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 3 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 |
| JA Chohan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Keaton Jennings, 1.2) · 2-89 (Ben McDermott, 8.1) · 3-128 (Liam Livingstone, 12.3) · 4-129 (Matthew Hurst, 12.5) · 5-191 (Shadab Khan, 18.3) · 6-215 (Jack Blatherwick, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 17 | 30/1 |
| 4 | 20 | 50/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 52/1 |
| 6 | 18 | 70/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 80/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 89/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 92/2 |
| 10 | 14 | 106/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 111/2 |
| 12 | 15 | 126/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 130/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 137/4 |
| 15 | 10 | 147/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 159/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 168/4 |
| 18 | 20 | 188/4 |
| 19 | 12 | 200/5 |
| 20 | 16 | 216/6 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Andrew Tye: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dan Moriarty: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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