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Asian Games Men's Cricket Competition · 2026 · Men
25 Sept 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 52%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 18% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 82%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nizakat Khanlbw · Sufyan Mehmood 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sufyan Mehmood | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Anshuman Rathcaught · Nawed Al Balushi · Shuaib Al Balushi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nawed Al Balushi · b Shuaib Al Balushi | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Babar Hayatcaught · Shuaib Al Balushi · Mohammed Al Balushi 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shuaib Al Balushi · b Mohammed Al Balushi | 23 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 92.00 |
| Hafeez Khanstumped · Muzaffar Shiralkar · Sameer Othman 3 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Muzaffar Shiralkar · b Sameer Othman | 33 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 89.19 |
| S Mathurcaught · Waheed Al Balushi · Mohammed Al Balushi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waheed Al Balushi · b Mohammed Al Balushi | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Shahid Wasifbowled · Mohammed Al Balushi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammed Al Balushi | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Yasim Murtazanot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 14 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
| Nasrulla Ranabowled · Nawed Al Balushi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nawed Al Balushi | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Ehsan Khanrun out · Muzaffar Shiralkar, Nawed Al Balushi · Nawed Al Balushi 1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Muzaffar Shiralkar, Nawed Al Balushi | 16 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 160.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sufyan Mehmood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Shuaib Al Balushi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Nawed Al Balushi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Mohammed Al Balushi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Sameer Othman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Anshuman Rath, 1.4) · 2-11 (Nizakat Khan, 2.3) · 3-62 (Babar Hayat, 10.2) · 4-78 (Hafeez Khan, 13.4) · 5-83 (Shahid Wasif, 14.4) · 6-85 (S Mathur, 15.0) · 7-96 (Nasrulla Rana, 17.1) · 8-121 (Ehsan Khan, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 14/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 21/2 |
| 5 | 8 | 29/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 34/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 39/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 48/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 51/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 62/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 65/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 69/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 74/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 79/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 85/6 |
| 16 | 3 | 88/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 96/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 101/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 109/7 |
| 20 | 12 | 121/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.