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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia & EAP Qualifier · 2025/26 · Men
10 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malaysia started on 46%; Malaysia batted first.
Malaysia's chances ranged from 1% to 65% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 35% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Haziq Aimanbowled · Haider Ali 5 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Haider Ali | 41 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 132.26 |
| Aslam Khanbowled · Muhammad Rohid 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Rohid | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 120.00 |
| Syed Azizcaught · Waseem Muhammad · D Parashar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b D Parashar | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
| Ahmed Faiznot out 2 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 54* | 39 | 2 | 3 | 138.46 |
| Virandeep Singhrun out · Muhammad Arfan, Rahul Chopra · Muhammad Arfan 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Muhammad Arfan, Rahul Chopra | 8 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
| caught · Haider Ali · b Muhammad Arfan |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Sharvin Muniandynot out 2 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 41* | 22 | 2 | 3 | 186.36 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Haider Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Rohid0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 1 | 12.50 | 1 | 1 |
| D Parashar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| SS Kang0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Muhammad Arfan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-23 (Aslam Khan, 2.3) · 2-48 (Syed Aziz, 5.5) · 3-55 (Muhammad Haziq Aiman, 8.0) · 4-83 (Virandeep Singh, 12.1) · 5-84 (Muhamad Syahadat, 12.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 31/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 45/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 48/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 53/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 55/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 63/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 68/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 73/3 |
| 12 | 10 | 83/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 85/5 |
| 14 | 5 | 90/5 |
| 15 | 12 | 102/5 |
| 16 | 12 | 114/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 121/5 |
| 18 | 9 | 130/5 |
| 19 | 7 | 137/5 |
| 20 | 24 | 161/5 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
