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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Africa Region Division Two Qualifier · 2025 · Women
26 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Mozambique more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Mozambique started on 54%; Mozambique batted first.
Mozambique's chances ranged from 2% to 68% during the match (Cameroon: 32% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O Mondlanecaught · EGS Kana · O Ranedoumoun 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · EGS Kana · b O Ranedoumoun | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| AL Mundundobowled · E Guehoada 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b E Guehoada | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 31.58 |
| C Magaialbw · Maeva Douma 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Maeva Douma | 6 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 37.50 |
| I Chumacaught · ME Bessala · O Ranedoumoun 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · ME Bessala · b O Ranedoumoun | 17 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 58.62 |
| P Cuinicacaught · MLN Sissako · CI Manidom 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MLN Sissako · b CI Manidom | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| WNA Bucuane |
| bowled · b BMA Mbida |
| 5 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 71.43 |
| IE Mulhovocaught · CSN Mbelel · BMA Mbida 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CSN Mbelel · b BMA Mbida | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
|---|
| R Haiongnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 14 | 1 | 0 | 64.29 |
|---|
| A Salomaobowled · Maeva Douma 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Maeva Douma | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| O Matsolonot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 16 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O Ranedoumoun0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 3.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Maeva Douma0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 3.25 | 2 | 0 |
| E Guehoada0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
| CI Manidom0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 5.00 | 4 | 0 |
| BMA Mbida0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 5 | 0 |
| ME Bessala0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-4 (O Mondlane, 2.1) · 2-13 (C Magaia, 5.5) · 3-17 (AL Mundundo, 7.0) · 4-35 (P Cuinica, 11.1) · 5-48 (WNA Bucuane, 13.1) · 6-61 (IE Mulhovo, 15.5) · 7-61 (I Chuma, 16.1) · 8-73 (A Salomao, 18.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 5/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 9/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 12/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 14/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 17/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 21/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 25/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 30/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 35/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 41/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 47/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 50/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 57/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 61/6 |
| 17 | 7 | 68/7 |
| 18 | 5 | 73/7 |
| 19 | 6 | 79/8 |
| 20 | 8 | 87/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.