Texas Super KingsversusLos Angeles Knight Riders

15 Jun 2025 · T20

Oakland Coliseum, Oakland · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Texas Super Kings won by 57 runs

Texas Super Kings20.0 overs181/4 Los Angeles Knight Riders17.1 overs124/10 Oakland Coliseum, Oakland ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Texas Super Kings started on 55%; Texas Super Kings batted first.

Texas Super Kings’s chance of winning (%) · Los Angeles Knight Riders is the rest

Texas Super Kings's chances ranged from 48% to 100% during the match (Los Angeles Knight Riders: 0% to 53%).

Biggest swings

2.5: AD Russell to F du Plessis, F du Plessis out. Los Angeles Knight Riders up from 40% to 51%.
2nd inns 4.3: SV Wiig to AD Hales, AD Hales out. Texas Super Kings up from 67% to 78%.
2nd inns 5.6: Noor Ahmad to NR Kumar, NR Kumar out. Texas Super Kings up from 78% to 88%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Texas Super Kings181/4 Los Angeles Knight Riders124/10

Innings 1