OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Region Final · 2025/26 · Men
2 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Nigeria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Nigeria started on 60%; Nigeria batted first.
Nigeria's chances ranged from 47% to 100% during the match (Botswana: 0% to 53%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sulaimon Runseweretired hurt · Tharindu Perera 1 fours · 0 sixes | retired hurt | 5* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
| S Chilemanyacaught · Dhruv Maisuria · B Kgosiemang 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Maisuria · b B Kgosiemang | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Isaac Danladibowled · Dhruv Maisuria 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Dhruv Maisuria | 19 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 86.36 |
| Sesan Adedejibowled · Dhruv Maisuria 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Dhruv Maisuria | 41 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 95.35 |
| Sylvester Okpecaught · Karabo Motlhanka · Thatayaone Tshose 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karabo Motlhanka · b Thatayaone Tshose | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 175.00 |
| bowled · b Tharindu Perera |
| 42 |
| 18 |
| 4 |
| 3 |
| 233.33 |
| P Usenicaught · Tharindu Perera · B Kgosiemang 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tharindu Perera · b B Kgosiemang | 21 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 190.91 |
|---|
| Isaac Okpecaught · Thatayaone Tshose · Tharindu Perera 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Thatayaone Tshose · b Tharindu Perera | 11 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 157.14 |
|---|
| R Abdulkareemnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Peter Ahobowled · B Kgosiemang 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b B Kgosiemang | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B Kgosiemang0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Tharindu Perera0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Thatayaone Tshose0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Dhruv Maisuria0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| K Piet0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| B Keganne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (S Chilemanya, 0.5) · 2-45 (Isaac Danladi, 8.4) · 3-62 (Sylvester Okpe, 10.0) · 4-123 (Sesan Adedeji, 16.0) · 5-123 (Vincent Adewoye, 16.1) · 6-150 (Isaac Okpe, 18.3) · 7-160 (P Useni, 19.4) · 8-166 (Peter Aho, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 24/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 32/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 38/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 42/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 51/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 62/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 68/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 79/3 |
| 13 | 16 | 95/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 98/3 |
| 15 | 12 | 110/3 |
| 16 | 13 | 123/4 |
| 17 | 7 | 130/5 |
| 18 | 13 | 143/5 |
| 19 | 11 | 154/6 |
| 20 | 12 | 166/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.