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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
6 Jun 2025 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 47%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 0% to 68% during the match (Glamorgan: 32% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Rossingtoncaught · Mason Crane · Daniel Douthwaite0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mason Crane · b Daniel Douthwaite | 13 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
 Dean Elgarcaught · Colin Ingram · BI Kellaway4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Colin Ingram · b BI Kellaway | 32 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 152.38 |
| Michael-Kyle Peppercaught · Kiran Carlson · BI Kellaway 2 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Kiran Carlson · b BI Kellaway | 60 | 30 | 2 | 5 | 200.00 |
| Paul Waltercaught · Chris Cooke · Mason Crane 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Cooke · b Mason Crane | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| bowled · b Timm van der Gugten |
| 13 |
| 12 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 108.33 |
| CWJ Allisonbowled · Mason Crane 1 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Mason Crane | 21 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Luc Benkensteinnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 11 | 1 | 0 | 109.09 |
|---|
 Simon Harmercaught · Timm van der Gugten · Daniel Douthwaite1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Timm van der Gugten · b Daniel Douthwaite | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
 Shane Snatercaught · Kiran Carlson · Daniel Douthwaite0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kiran Carlson · b Daniel Douthwaite | 11 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 122.22 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Timm van der Gugten0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Jamie McIlroy0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 12.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Daniel Douthwaite0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 3 | 8.50 | 4 | 0 |
 Mason Crane0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Andy Gorvin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| BI Kellaway0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-19 (Adam Rossington, 3.1) · 2-77 (Dean Elgar, 8.2) · 3-99 (Paul Walter, 10.4) · 4-120 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 12.5) · 5-140 (Matthew Critchley, 15.4) · 6-152 (CWJ Allison, 16.5) · 7-157 (Simon Harmer, 17.2) · 8-183 (Shane Snater, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 37/1 |
| 6 | 14 | 51/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 58/1 |
| 8 | 13 | 71/1 |
| 9 | 12 | 83/2 |
| 10 | 10 | 93/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 100/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 106/3 |
| 13 | 14 | 120/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 126/4 |
| 15 | 12 | 138/4 |
| 16 | 9 | 147/5 |
| 17 | 9 | 156/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 160/7 |
| 19 | 11 | 171/7 |
| 20 | 12 | 183/8 |
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Cook: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jamie McIlroy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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