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Women's Asia Cup · 2024 · Women
23 Jul 2024 · T20
Rangiri Dambulla International Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 53%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 58% during the match (Pakistan: 42% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esha Ozacaught · Aliya Riaz · Nashra Sandhu 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aliya Riaz · b Nashra Sandhu | 16 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 61.54 |
| Theertha Satishbowled · Tuba Hassan 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tuba Hassan | 40 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Rinitha Rajithcaught · Sidra Ameen · Nashra Sandhu 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sidra Ameen · b Nashra Sandhu | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Kavisha Egodagelbw · Nida Dar 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nida Dar | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Khushi Sharmabowled · Sadia Iqbal 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sadia Iqbal | 12 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 92.31 |
| caught · Gull Feroza · b Sadia Iqbal |
| 9 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| S Dharnidharkacaught · Gull Feroza · Tuba Hassan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gull Feroza · b Tuba Hassan | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Lavanya Kenyrun out · Syeda Aroob Shah · Syeda Aroob Shah 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Syeda Aroob Shah | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| Vaishnave Maheshnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| I Nandakumarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Sana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sadia Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Umaima Sohail0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Nashra Sandhu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Syeda Aroob Shah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Nida Dar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Tuba Hassan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-29 (Esha Oza, 6.5) · 2-37 (Rinitha Rajith, 8.3) · 3-52 (Kavisha Egodage, 11.1) · 4-74 (Theertha Satish, 14.2) · 5-78 (Khushi Sharma, 15.1) · 6-85 (S Dharnidharka, 16.3) · 7-91 (Heena Hotchandani, 17.5) · 8-98 (Lavanya Keny, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 18/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 19/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 24/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 29/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 36/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 39/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 44/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 52/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 59/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 65/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 73/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 78/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 82/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 87/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 91/7 |
| 19 | 7 | 98/7 |
| 20 | 5 | 103/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.