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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
24 May 2026 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographYorkshire started on 40%; Yorkshire batted first.
Yorkshire's chances ranged from 0% to 70% during the match (Surrey: 30% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 23 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 143.75 |
| EG Thomascaught · Laura Harris · Kalea Moore 8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laura Harris · b Kalea Moore | 42 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 144.83 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paige Scholfield · b Alice Davidson-Richards | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Sterre Kaliscaught · Kira Chathli · Alice Davidson-Richards 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kira Chathli · b Alice Davidson-Richards | 18 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 75.00 |
| caught · Jemima Spence · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 40.00 |
| Maddie Wardcaught · Bryony Smith · Danielle Gregory 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bryony Smith · b Danielle Gregory | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Olivia Thomaslbw · Ryana MacDonald-Gay 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| Beth Langstonrun out · Alice Monaghan, Kira Chathli · Kalea Moore 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Alice Monaghan, Kira Chathli | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Rachel Slatercaught · Paige Scholfield · Kalea Moore 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paige Scholfield · b Kalea Moore | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ria Fackrellcaught · Danielle Gregory · Kalea Moore 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Danielle Gregory · b Kalea Moore | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| HM Garton (2)not out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Priyanaz Chatterji0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Kalea Moore0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryana MacDonald-Gay0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Alice Monaghan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Alice Davidson-Richards0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Danielle Gregory0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 2 | 0 |
1-60 (Lauren Winfield, 6.0) · 2-73 (EG Thomas, 7.4) · 3-78 (Jess Jonassen, 8.5) · 4-84 (Ami Campbell, 10.3) · 5-91 (Maddie Ward, 11.4) · 6-101 (Olivia Thomas, 14.1) · 7-113 (Sterre Kalis, 16.4) · 8-118 (Beth Langston, 17.1) · 9-132 (Ria Fackrell, 19.3) · 10-133 (Rachel Slater, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 29/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 36/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 47/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 60/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 68/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 73/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 78/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 82/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 87/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 92/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 98/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 101/5 |
| 15 | 2 | 103/6 |
| 16 | 9 | 112/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 117/7 |
| 18 | 6 | 123/8 |
| 19 | 7 | 130/8 |
| 20 | 3 | 133/10 |
Paige Scholfield: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jess Jonassen: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Lauren Winfield: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.