Royal Challengers BengaluruversusDelhi Capitals

24 Jan 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Delhi Capitals won by 7 wickets

Royal Challengers Bengaluru20.0 overs109/10 Delhi Capitals15.4 overs111/3 Kotambi Stadium, Vadodara ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Royal Challengers Bengaluru started on 52%; Royal Challengers Bengaluru batted first.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru’s chance of winning (%) · Delhi Capitals is the rest

Royal Challengers Bengaluru's chances ranged from 0% to 64% during the match (Delhi Capitals: 36% to 100%).

Biggest swings

5.3: M Kapp to GM Harris, GM Harris out. Delhi Capitals up from 41% to 50%.
9.2: M Mani to S Mandhana, S Mandhana out. Delhi Capitals up from 45% to 53%.
11.4: M Kapp to G Voll, G Voll out. Delhi Capitals up from 64% to 71%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru109/10 Delhi Capitals111/3

Innings 1