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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Africa Region Division One Qualifier · 2025 · Women
4 Sept 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Uganda started on 47%; Uganda batted first.
Uganda's chances ranged from 0% to 62% during the match (Zimbabwe: 38% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janet Mbabazilbw · Nyasha Gwanzura 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nyasha Gwanzura | 29 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 126.09 |
| E Ilokubowled · Nomvelo Sibanda 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nomvelo Sibanda | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Immaculate Nakisuuyibowled · Nyasha Gwanzura 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nyasha Gwanzura | 26 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 123.81 |
| Rita Musamalinot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 23* | 27 | 1 | 0 | 85.19 |
| Stephanie Nampiinacaught · Francisca Chipare · Loren Tshuma 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Francisca Chipare · b Loren Tshuma | 13 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 72.22 |
| Prosscovia Alako |
| lbw · b L Mabhero |
| 10 |
| 15 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Malisa Ariokotlbw · L Mabhero 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b L Mabhero | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
| Kevin Awinorun out · Modester Mupachikwa, Nyasha Gwanzura · L Mabhero 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Modester Mupachikwa, Nyasha Gwanzura | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nomvelo Sibanda0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 4.67 | 1 | 1 |
| Josephine Nkomo0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| L Mabhero0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Nyasha Gwanzura0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Francisca Chipare0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Loren Tshuma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| B Biza0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 3.67 | 1 | 0 |
1-17 (E Iloku, 2.3) · 2-46 (Janet Mbabazi, 7.0) · 3-59 (Immaculate Nakisuuyi, 8.4) · 4-83 (Stephanie Nampiina, 13.3) · 5-99 (Prosscovia Alako, 17.2) · 6-110 (Malisa Ariokot, 19.1) · 7-119 (Kevin Awino, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 41/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 46/2 |
| 8 | 12 | 58/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 59/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 66/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 67/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 71/3 |
| 13 | 11 | 82/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 86/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 89/4 |
| 16 | 8 | 97/4 |
| 17 | 2 | 99/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 103/5 |
| 19 | 6 | 109/5 |
| 20 | 10 | 119/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.