Sunrisers HyderabadversusMumbai Indians

23 Apr 2025 · T20

Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Mumbai Indians won by 7 wickets

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs143/8 Mumbai Indians15.4 overs146/3 Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 48%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Mumbai Indians is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 0% to 49% during the match (Mumbai Indians: 51% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.2: TA Boult to TM Head, TM Head out. Mumbai Indians up from 56% to 68%.
2.1: DL Chahar to Ishan Kishan, Ishan Kishan out. Mumbai Indians up from 65% to 75%.
3.3: TA Boult to Abhishek Sharma, Abhishek Sharma out. Mumbai Indians up from 78% to 85%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad143/8 Mumbai Indians146/3

Innings 1