Sharjah WarriorzversusDesert Vipers

20 Dec 2025 · T20

Dubai International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Desert Vipers won by 4 wickets

Sharjah Warriorz17.5 overs90/10 Desert Vipers13.5 overs91/6 Dubai International Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sharjah Warriorz started on 38%; Sharjah Warriorz batted first.

Sharjah Warriorz’s chance of winning (%) · Desert Vipers is the rest

Sharjah Warriorz's chances ranged from 0% to 39% during the match (Desert Vipers: 61% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2.2: DA Payne to J Charles, J Charles out. Desert Vipers up from 62% to 71%.
4.4: DA Payne to T Kohler-Cadmore, T Kohler-Cadmore out. Desert Vipers up from 71% to 78%.
6.4: DA Payne to JEK Rew, JEK Rew out. Desert Vipers up from 78% to 84%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sharjah Warriorz90/10 Desert Vipers91/6

Innings 1