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Australia Women tour of India · 2025/26 · Women
17 Sept 2025 · ODI
Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, New Chandigarh · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 23%; India batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pratika Rawalcaught · Georgia Wareham · Ashleigh Gardner 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Georgia Wareham · b Ashleigh Gardner | 25 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 78.13 |
 Smriti Mandhanacaught · Ashleigh Gardner · Tahlia McGrath14 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Ashleigh Gardner · b Tahlia McGrath | 117 | 91 | 14 | 4 | 128.57 |
| Harleen Deolrun out · Alyssa Healy, Alana King · Annabel Sutherland 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Alyssa Healy, Alana King | 10 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 41.67 |
 Harmanpreet Kaurcaught · Annabel Sutherland · Ashleigh Gardner2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Annabel Sutherland · b Ashleigh Gardner | 17 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 65.38 |
India's chances ranged from 22% to 100% during the match (Australia: 0% to 78%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
 Deepti Sharmacaught · Annabel Sutherland · Darcie Brown2 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Annabel Sutherland · b Darcie Brown |
| 40 |
| 53 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 75.47 |
 Richa Ghoshcaught · Georgia Voll · Annabel Sutherland3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Georgia Voll · b Annabel Sutherland | 29 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 87.88 |
|---|
 Radha Yadavlbw · Darcie Brown1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Darcie Brown | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Arundhati Reddybowled · Darcie Brown 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Darcie Brown | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Sneh Ranacaught · Darcie Brown · Megan Schutt 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Darcie Brown · b Megan Schutt | 24 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Kranti Goudrun out · Alyssa Healy, Tahlia McGrath · Megan Schutt 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Alyssa Healy, Tahlia McGrath | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Renuka Singhnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Megan Schutt0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.5 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 5.87 | 2 | 0 |
 Ashleigh Gardner1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 39 | 2 | 3.90 | 0 | 0 |
 Darcie Brown0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 42 | 3 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Ellyse Perry0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Annabel Sutherland0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 58 | 1 | 5.80 | 5 | 0 |
 Georgia Wareham0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Tahlia McGrath0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Alana King0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-70 (Pratika Rawal, 11.3) · 2-119 (Harleen Deol, 18.5) · 3-152 (Harmanpreet Kaur, 25.2) · 4-192 (Smriti Mandhana, 32.2) · 5-239 (Richa Ghosh, 41.2) · 6-247 (Radha Yadav, 42.3) · 7-255 (Arundhati Reddy, 44.2) · 8-272 (Deepti Sharma, 46.1) · 9-275 (Kranti Goud, 47.1) · 10-292 (Sneh Rana, 49.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 18/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 27/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 33/0 |
| 7 | 12 | 45/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 52/0 |
| 9 | 9 | 61/0 |
| 10 | 3 | 64/0 |
| 11 | 6 | 70/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 72/1 |
| 13 | 1 | 73/1 |
| 14 | 3 | 76/1 |
| 15 | 5 | 81/1 |
| 16 | 13 | 94/1 |
| 17 | 3 | 97/1 |
| 18 | 16 | 113/1 |
| 19 | 6 | 119/2 |
| 20 | 2 | 121/2 |
| 21 | 5 | 126/2 |
| 22 | 8 | 134/2 |
| 23 | 5 | 139/2 |
| 24 | 4 | 143/2 |
| 25 | 9 | 152/2 |
| 26 | 1 | 153/3 |
| 27 | 7 | 160/3 |
| 28 | 6 | 166/3 |
| 29 | 7 | 173/3 |
| 30 | 7 | 180/3 |
| 31 | 7 | 187/3 |
| 32 | 4 | 191/3 |
| 33 | 2 | 193/4 |
| 34 | 5 | 198/4 |
| 35 | 4 | 202/4 |
| 36 | 3 | 205/4 |
| 37 | 6 | 211/4 |
| 38 | 7 | 218/4 |
| 39 | 6 | 224/4 |
| 40 | 11 | 235/4 |
| 41 | 4 | 239/4 |
| 42 | 4 | 243/5 |
| 43 | 7 | 250/6 |
| 44 | 4 | 254/6 |
| 45 | 8 | 262/7 |
| 46 | 10 | 272/7 |
| 47 | 3 | 275/8 |
| 48 | 4 | 279/9 |
| 49 | 9 | 288/9 |
| 50 | 4 | 292/10 |
Georgia Wareham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tahlia McGrath: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Renuka Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Megan Schutt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashleigh Gardner: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beth Mooney: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alyssa Healy: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Darcie Brown: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Radha Yadav: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Annabel Sutherland: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Georgia Voll: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alana King: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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