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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Asia Qualifier A · 2026/27 · Men
9 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Qatar more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Myanmar started on 15%; Myanmar batted first.
Myanmar's chances ranged from 0% to 16% during the match (Qatar: 84% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Htet Lin Oolbw · Mirza Mohammed Baig 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mirza Mohammed Baig | 16 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Khin Ayecaught · Imal Liyanage · Mirza Mohammed Baig 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imal Liyanage · b Mirza Mohammed Baig | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 5.56 |
| Kyaw Zin Lincaught · Zubair Ali · Daniel Louis 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zubair Ali · b Daniel Louis | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 17.65 |
| Pyae Phyo Waibowled · Daniel Louis 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Daniel Louis | 6 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 35.29 |
| Ko Ko Lin Thucaught · Muhammad Asim · Daniel Louis 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Asim · b Daniel Louis | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| bowled · b Owais Ahmed |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Nyan Lin Htetcaught · Shahzaib Jamil · Shariq Munir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shahzaib Jamil · b Shariq Munir | 7 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 38.89 |
|---|
| Kaung Htet Kyawbowled · Daniel Louis 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Daniel Louis | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Aung Ko Konot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 13 | 1 | 0 | 76.92 |
|---|
| Nyein Cham Soecaught · Shahzaib Jamil · Mirza Mohammed Baig 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shahzaib Jamil · b Mirza Mohammed Baig | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Nay Lin Htikenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikramullah Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Mujeeb Ur Rehman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shariq Munir1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Mirza Mohammed Baig0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Louis2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Asim1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Owais Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-18 (Htet Lin Oo, 5.2) · 2-21 (Khin Aye, 7.4) · 3-23 (Kyaw Zin Lin, 10.4) · 4-23 (Ko Ko Lin Thu, 11.0) · 5-28 (Pyae Phyo Wai, 12.2) · 6-30 (Paing Danu, 13.5) · 7-35 (Kaung Htet Kyaw, 15.0) · 8-42 (Nyan Lin Htet, 17.0) · 9-48 (Nyein Cham Soe, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 3/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 7/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 14/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 14/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 19/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 20/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 21/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 23/2 |
| 10 | 0 | 23/2 |
| 11 | 0 | 23/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 28/4 |
| 13 | 1 | 29/5 |
| 14 | 1 | 30/6 |
| 15 | 5 | 35/7 |
| 16 | 4 | 39/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 42/8 |
| 18 | 2 | 44/8 |
| 19 | 4 | 48/8 |
| 20 | 7 | 55/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.