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Photo: PaddyBriggs
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Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
29 Dec 2025 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 51%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 7% to 69% during the match (Auckland: 31% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Robinsonbowled · Ryan Harrison 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ryan Harrison | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
 Tom Blundellbowled · SB Keene2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b SB Keene | 18 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
| Nick Kellycaught · Rohit Gulati · AL Olliver 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rohit Gulati · b AL Olliver | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
 Muhammad Abbascaught · Cam Fletcher · AL Olliver1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cam Fletcher · b AL Olliver | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
 |
| caught · Rohit Gulati · b H Johal |
| 83 |
| 39 |
| 10 |
| 4 |
| 212.82 |
 Gareth Severincaught · Dale Phillips · H Johal3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Dale Phillips · b H Johal | 33 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 113.79 |
|---|
| Logan van Beekcaught · Bevon Jacobs · H Johal 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Bevon Jacobs · b H Johal | 24 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 184.62 |
|---|
| Peter Younghusbandnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Nick Greenwoodnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SB Keene0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 13.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Rohit Gulati0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Harrison0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 12.50 | 1 | 0 |
| AL Olliver0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 2 | 1 |
 Adithya Ashok0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| H Johal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-22 (Tim Robinson, 2.2) · 2-29 (Nick Kelly, 3.5) · 3-31 (Tom Blundell, 4.3) · 4-43 (Muhammad Abbas, 6.0) · 5-143 (Gareth Severin, 15.4) · 6-159 (Jesse Tashkoff, 17.2) · 7-184 (Logan van Beek, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 21/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 29/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 35/3 |
| 6 | 8 | 43/4 |
| 7 | 11 | 54/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 58/4 |
| 9 | 7 | 65/4 |
| 10 | 3 | 68/4 |
| 11 | 12 | 80/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 85/4 |
| 13 | 20 | 105/4 |
| 14 | 11 | 116/4 |
| 15 | 21 | 137/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 143/5 |
| 17 | 12 | 155/5 |
| 18 | 7 | 162/6 |
| 19 | 16 | 178/6 |
| 20 | 9 | 187/7 |
Martin Guptill: Government House, Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet · CC0
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Severin: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Cam Fletcher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Adithya Ashok: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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