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ECA Men's European Cup · 2026 · Men
28 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
France started on 25%; France batted first.
France's chances ranged from 9% to 100% during the match (Austria: 0% to 91%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zakria Atiq Buttbowled · Aqib Iqbal 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aqib Iqbal | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Virk Alibowled · Maiwand Momand 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Maiwand Momand | 18 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 128.57 |
| Mustafa Omerlbw · Baseer Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Baseer Khan | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| C Robertscaught · Zeshan Arif · Maiwand Momand 8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zeshan Arif · b Maiwand Momand | 72 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 138.46 |
| Rahimgul Nasericaught · Zeshan Arif · Maiwand Momand 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zeshan Arif · b Maiwand Momand | 13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 162.50 |
| caught · Bilal Zalmai · b AA Wagh |
| 9 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 128.57 |
| Kamran Ahmadzaicaught · Aqib Iqbal · Baseer Khan 3 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Aqib Iqbal · b Baseer Khan | 49 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 181.48 |
|---|
| Noman Amjadnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Rahmatullah Mangalnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aqib Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Baseer Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Bilal Zalmai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 11.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Maiwand Momand0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| AA Wagh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Zakria Atiq Butt, 0.4) · 2-5 (Mustafa Omer, 1.4) · 3-41 (Virk Ali, 6.5) · 4-63 (Rahimgul Naseri, 9.0) · 5-77 (Jamshid Nasiri, 11.0) · 6-141 (C Roberts, 17.5) · 7-164 (Kamran Ahmadzai, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/2 |
| 3 | 3 | 8/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 12/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 19/2 |
| 6 | 17 | 36/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 42/3 |
| 8 | 12 | 54/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 63/4 |
| 10 | 11 | 74/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 77/5 |
| 12 | 7 | 84/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 87/5 |
| 14 | 6 | 93/5 |
| 15 | 14 | 107/5 |
| 16 | 13 | 120/5 |
| 17 | 11 | 131/5 |
| 18 | 12 | 143/6 |
| 19 | 17 | 160/6 |
| 20 | 6 | 166/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.