Chittagong KingsversusSylhet Strikers

13 Jan 2025 · T20

Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Chittagong Kings won by 30 runs

Chittagong Kings20.0 overs203/6 Sylhet Strikers20.0 overs173/8 Sylhet International Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Chittagong Kings started on 45%; Chittagong Kings batted first.

Chittagong Kings’s chance of winning (%) · Sylhet Strikers is the rest

Chittagong Kings's chances ranged from 44% to 100% during the match (Sylhet Strikers: 0% to 56%).

Biggest swings

3.6: Tanzim Hasan Sakib to Parvez Hossain Emon, Parvez Hossain Emon out. Sylhet Strikers up from 42% to 53%.
2nd inns 0.2: Nabil Samad to PR Stirling, PR Stirling out. Chittagong Kings up from 77% to 86%.
2nd inns 4.2: Al Islam to Zakir Hasan, Zakir Hasan out. Chittagong Kings up from 79% to 87%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Chittagong Kings203/6 Sylhet Strikers173/8

Innings 1