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Photo: Electricmaster
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
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Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2023/24 · Men
6 Jan 2024 · T20
Melbourne Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 40%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 0% to 59% during the match (Sydney Sixers: 42% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Rogersbowled · Ben Dwarshuis 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Dwarshuis | 19 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 118.75 |
 Daniel Lawrencecaught · James Vince · Tom Curran1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · James Vince · b Tom Curran | 36 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 105.88 |
 Beau Websterbowled · Todd Murphy0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Todd Murphy | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Glenn Maxwellcaught · Sean Abbott · Todd Murphy4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Sean Abbott · b Todd Murphy | 31 | 14 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 221.43 |
 Marcus Stoinisnot out3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 34* | 30 | 3 | 0 | 113.33 |
|---|
| Hilton Cartwrightnot out 3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 29* | 22 | 3 | 1 | 131.82 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stephen O'Keefe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Sean Abbott0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jack Edwards0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Curran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Dwarshuis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Todd Murphy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-40 (Tom Rogers, 4.5) · 2-41 (Beau Webster, 5.4) · 3-77 (Glenn Maxwell, 9.1) · 4-100 (Daniel Lawrence, 13.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 23/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 33/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 40/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 41/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 48/2 |
| 8 | 15 | 63/2 |
| 9 | 14 | 77/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 81/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 85/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 90/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 95/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 100/4 |
| 15 | 10 | 110/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 115/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 120/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 126/4 |
| 19 | 16 | 142/4 |
| 20 | 14 | 156/4 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Peter Handscomb: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Scott Boland: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Stephen O'Keefe: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Todd Murphy: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Imad Wasim: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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