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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
4 Jul 2025 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 55%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 56% to 100% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 0% to 44%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Graham Clarkcaught · Daniel Sams · Matthew Montgomery4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Daniel Sams · b Matthew Montgomery | 40 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 148.15 |
 Alex Leescaught · Calvin Harrison · Oli Stone11 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Calvin Harrison · b Oli Stone | 77 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 167.39 |
 Colin Ackermanncaught · Daniel Sams · Calvin Harrison7 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Daniel Sams · b Calvin Harrison | 83 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 251.52 |
| James Neeshambowled · Calvin Harrison 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Calvin Harrison |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| BS McKinneycaught · Calvin Harrison · Matthew Montgomery 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Calvin Harrison · b Matthew Montgomery | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
 Will Rhodesnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 5 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oli Stone0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 14.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Daniel Sams0 maidens · 1 wides · 4 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 12.75 | 1 | 4 |
| Farhan Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Montgomery0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 54 | 2 | 13.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Calvin Harrison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Patterson-White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 10.29 | 0 | 0 |
1-83 (Graham Clark, 8.4) · 2-148 (Alex Lees, 14.4) · 3-151 (James Neesham, 15.1) · 4-158 (BS McKinney, 16.3) · 5-231 (Colin Ackermann, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 28/0 |
| 4 | 17 | 45/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 51/0 |
| 6 | 19 | 70/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 74/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 80/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 85/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 90/1 |
| 11 | 10 | 100/1 |
| 12 | 10 | 110/1 |
| 13 | 14 | 124/1 |
| 14 | 12 | 136/1 |
| 15 | 15 | 151/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 154/3 |
| 17 | 12 | 166/4 |
| 18 | 14 | 180/4 |
| 19 | 32 | 212/4 |
| 20 | 19 | 231/5 |
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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