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Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
17 Jul 2026 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSurrey started on 50%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 0% to 56% during the match (The Blaze: 44% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryony Smithcaught · Georgia Elwiss · Charli Knott 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Georgia Elwiss · b Charli Knott | 29 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 103.57 |
 Danielle Wyattbowled · Grace Ballinger0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Grace Ballinger | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Kira Chathlicaught · Charley Phillips · Grace Ballinger 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Charley Phillips · b Grace Ballinger | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 160.00 |
| Laura Harriscaught · Georgia Elwiss · Charli Knott 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Georgia Elwiss · b Charli Knott | 18 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 257.14 |
| Jemima Spencebowled · Kathryn Bryce 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Alice Davidson-Richardscaught and bowled · Josie Groves 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Josie Groves | 20 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 117.65 |
|---|
| Alice Monaghanlbw · Charli Knott 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Charli Knott | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Kalea Moorecaught · Kirstie Gordon · Josie Groves 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kirstie Gordon · b Josie Groves | 9 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Ryana MacDonald-Gaynot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Danielle Gregorylbw · Grace Ballinger 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Grace Ballinger | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Matilda Corteen-Colemancaught and bowled · Charli Knott 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Charli Knott | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 14 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Ballinger0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Charley Phillips1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Kirstie Gordon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Charli Knott0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 6.43 | 5 | 0 |
| Kathryn Bryce0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Josie Groves0 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 6.00 | 8 | 0 |
 Georgia Elwiss0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Danielle Wyatt, 2.1) · 2-17 (Kira Chathli, 3.0) · 3-45 (Laura Harris, 5.2) · 4-58 (Jemima Spence, 6.4) · 5-74 (Bryony Smith, 9.2) · 6-79 (Alice Monaghan, 9.5) · 7-89 (Alice Davidson-Richards, 12.0) · 8-97 (Kalea Moore, 13.5) · 9-104 (Danielle Gregory, 14.3) · 10-105 (Matilda Corteen-Coleman, 15.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 17/2 |
| 4 | 16 | 33/2 |
| 5 | 8 | 41/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 50/3 |
| 7 | 11 | 61/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 64/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 73/4 |
| 10 | 6 | 79/6 |
| 11 | 5 | 84/6 |
| 12 | 5 | 89/7 |
| 13 | 4 | 93/7 |
| 14 | 10 | 103/8 |
| 15 | 2 | 105/9 |
| 16 | 0 | 105/10 |
Tammy Beaumont: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kirstie Gordon: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Georgia Elwiss: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Wyatt: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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