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New Zealand tour of Zimbabwe · 2025 · Men
7 Aug 2025 · Test
Recorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Bennettcaught · Will Young · Matt Henry 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Young · b Matt Henry | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Brendan Taylorcaught · Mitchell Santner · Matt Henry6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Santner · b Matt Henry | 44 | 107 | 6 | 0 | 41.12 |
| Nick Welchlbw · Matt Henry 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Matt Henry | 11 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 35.48 |
 Sean Williamscaught · Will Young · Zakary Foulkes1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Young · b Zakary Foulkes | 11 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 84.62 |
 Craig Ervinecaught · Will Young · Zakary Foulkes1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Young · b Zakary Foulkes | 7 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
 Sikandar Razacaught · Rachin Ravindra · Zakary Foulkes1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rachin Ravindra · b Zakary Foulkes | 5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 35.71 |
|---|
| Tafadzwa Tsiganot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 33* | 54 | 4 | 0 | 61.11 |
|---|
| Trevor Gwandulbw · Zakary Foulkes 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Zakary Foulkes | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Vincent Masekesabowled · Matt Henry 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Matt Henry | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
|---|
| Blessing Muzarabanibowled · Matt Henry 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Matt Henry | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Tanaka Chivangacaught · Mitchell Santner · Matthew Fisher 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Santner · b Matthew Fisher | 4 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 18.18 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Henry3 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 3 | 40 | 5 | 2.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Jacob Duffy0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 2.40 | 0 | 1 |
| Zakary Foulkes5 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.0 | 5 | 38 | 4 | 2.38 | 1 | 0 |
 Matthew Fisher1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.5 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 2.34 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Brian Bennett, 2.3) · 2-30 (Nick Welch, 14.1) · 3-43 (Sean Williams, 17.5) · 4-67 (Craig Ervine, 28.1) · 5-83 (Brendan Taylor, 33.2) · 6-83 (Sikandar Raza, 34.1) · 7-83 (Trevor Gwandu, 34.3) · 8-94 (Vincent Masekesa, 38.0) · 9-100 (Blessing Muzarabani, 39.5) · 10-125 (Tanaka Chivanga, 48.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 1/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 5/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 9/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 10/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 12/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 13/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 21/1 |
| 10 | 1 | 22/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 24/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 28/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 30/1 |
| 14 | 0 | 30/1 |
| 15 | 3 | 33/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 36/2 |
| 17 | 7 | 43/2 |
| 18 | 0 | 43/3 |
| 19 | 1 | 44/3 |
| 20 | 1 | 45/3 |
| 21 | 0 | 45/3 |
| 22 | 4 | 49/3 |
| 23 | 8 | 57/3 |
| 24 | 0 | 57/3 |
| 25 | 2 | 59/3 |
| 26 | 3 | 62/3 |
| 27 | 1 | 63/3 |
| 28 | 4 | 67/3 |
| 29 | 4 | 71/4 |
| 30 | 1 | 72/4 |
| 31 | 9 | 81/4 |
| 32 | 2 | 83/4 |
| 33 | 0 | 83/4 |
| 34 | 0 | 83/5 |
| 35 | 0 | 83/7 |
| 36 | 8 | 91/7 |
| 37 | 2 | 93/7 |
| 38 | 1 | 94/8 |
| 39 | 5 | 99/8 |
| 40 | 1 | 100/9 |
| 41 | 5 | 105/9 |
| 42 | 5 | 110/9 |
| 43 | 1 | 111/9 |
| 44 | 1 | 112/9 |
| 45 | 1 | 113/9 |
| 46 | 3 | 116/9 |
| 47 | 5 | 121/9 |
| 48 | 4 | 125/9 |
| 49 | 0 | 125/10 |
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brendan Taylor: The Madras · CC BY-SA 3.0
Matthew Fisher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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