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Photo: Gihan Jayaweera
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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England tour of Sri Lanka · 2025/26 · Men
1 Feb 2026 · T20
Pallekele International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankabowled · Jofra Archer 3 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Jofra Archer | 34 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 154.55 |
| Kamil Misharacaught · Jamie Overton · Will Jacks 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Will Jacks | 36 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 120.00 |
| Kusal Mendiscaught · Adil Rashid · Liam Dawson 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Adil Rashid · b Liam Dawson | 32 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 188.24 |
| Pavan Rathnayakecaught · Jacob Bethell · Jofra Archer 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jacob Bethell · b Jofra Archer | 40 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 181.82 |
| Dasun Shanakalbw · Adil Rashid 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Adil Rashid | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| not out |
| 28* |
| 22 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 127.27 |
 Janith Liyanagenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 12 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Curran0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 15.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Jofra Archer0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 10.50 | 6 | 0 |
 Will Jacks0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Liam Dawson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Adil Rashid0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 |
 Jamie Overton0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 15.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-56 (Pathum Nissanka, 5.3) · 2-106 (Kamil Mishara, 11.0) · 3-128 (Kusal Mendis, 12.2) · 4-131 (Dasun Shanaka, 13.4) · 5-187 (Pavan Rathnayake, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 14/0 |
| 2 | 21 | 35/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 39/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 45/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 54/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 58/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 68/1 |
| 8 | 15 | 83/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 92/1 |
| 10 | 10 | 102/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 106/2 |
| 12 | 21 | 127/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 130/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 132/4 |
| 15 | 7 | 139/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 144/4 |
| 17 | 15 | 159/4 |
| 18 | 8 | 167/4 |
| 19 | 17 | 184/4 |
| 20 | 5 | 189/5 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wanindu Hasaranga: 04 ATM 04 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Janith Liyanage: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adil Rashid: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
_(Archer_cropped).jpg){kind=link}
_-_Sam_Curran_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}
