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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
20 Jun 2025 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Glamorgan started on 37%; Glamorgan batted first.
Glamorgan's chances ranged from 0% to 57% during the match (Somerset: 43% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kiran Carlsoncaught · Will Smeed · Matt Henry2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Will Smeed · b Matt Henry | 16 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 133.33 |
| William Smalebowled · Matt Henry 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Matt Henry | 15 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 166.67 |
| BI Kellawaycaught · Will Smeed · Riley Meredith 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Smeed · b Riley Meredith | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Colin Ingrambowled · Lewis Gregory 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lewis Gregory | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 70.00 |
 Chris Cooke |
| caught · Tom Banton · b Lewis Gregory |
| 4 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 36.36 |
| Asa Tribebowled · Josh Davey 2 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Josh Davey | 38 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 158.33 |
|---|
| Daniel Douthwaitecaught · Tom Abell · Riley Meredith 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Abell · b Riley Meredith | 16 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 84.21 |
|---|
 Imad Wasimcaught · Matt Henry · Riley Meredith2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matt Henry · b Riley Meredith | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 137.50 |
|---|
 Timm van der Gugtencaught · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · Riley Meredith0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · b Riley Meredith | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Ned Leonardnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
 Mason Cranenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Henry0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Josh Davey0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Lewis Gregory0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Lewis Goldsworthy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-30 (Kiran Carlson, 2.4) · 2-31 (BI Kellaway, 3.5) · 3-37 (William Smale, 4.4) · 4-42 (Colin Ingram, 7.0) · 5-49 (Chris Cooke, 8.3) · 6-98 (Asa Tribe, 14.4) · 7-100 (Daniel Douthwaite, 15.1) · 8-120 (Imad Wasim, 17.1) · 9-121 (Timm van der Gugten, 17.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 16 | 24/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 30/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 35/2 |
| 5 | 2 | 37/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 39/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 42/4 |
| 8 | 7 | 49/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 54/5 |
| 10 | 2 | 56/5 |
| 11 | 9 | 65/5 |
| 12 | 5 | 70/5 |
| 13 | 15 | 85/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 94/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 100/6 |
| 16 | 13 | 113/7 |
| 17 | 7 | 120/7 |
| 18 | 2 | 122/9 |
| 19 | 4 | 126/9 |
| 20 | 4 | 130/9 |
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Davey: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ned Leonard: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Imad Wasim: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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