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Photo: G patkar
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
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Indian Premier League · 2026 · Men
16 Apr 2026 · T20
Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai · Venue photographRecorded result
Mumbai Indians started on 43%; Mumbai Indians batted first.
Mumbai Indians's chances ranged from 0% to 72% during the match (Punjab Kings: 28% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ryan Rickeltoncaught · Shashank Singh · Arshdeep Singh0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shashank Singh · b Arshdeep Singh | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
 Quinton de Kocknot out8 fours · 7 sixes | not out | 112* | 60 | 8 | 7 | 186.67 |
 Suryakumar Yadavcaught · Yuzvendra Chahal · Arshdeep Singh0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Yuzvendra Chahal · b Arshdeep Singh | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Naman Dhircaught · Xavier Bartlett · Shashank Singh 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Xavier Bartlett · b Shashank Singh |
| 31 |
| 3 |
| 3 |
| 161.29 |
 Hardik Pandyacaught · Xavier Bartlett · Marco Jansen0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Xavier Bartlett · b Marco Jansen | 14 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 116.67 |
|---|
| Sherfane Rutherfordbowled · Arshdeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Arshdeep Singh | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
 Tilak Varmarun out · Vyshak Vijay Kumar · Vyshak Vijay Kumar2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Vyshak Vijay Kumar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 266.67 |
|---|
| Mayank Rawatnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arshdeep Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Marco Jansen0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Vyshak Vijay Kumar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Yuzvendra Chahal0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 15.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Shashank Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Ryan Rickelton, 2.1) · 2-12 (Suryakumar Yadav, 2.2) · 3-134 (Naman Dhir, 13.4) · 4-175 (Hardik Pandya, 17.3) · 5-182 (Sherfane Rutherford, 18.5) · 6-193 (Tilak Varma, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 15/2 |
| 4 | 10 | 25/2 |
| 5 | 8 | 33/2 |
| 6 | 15 | 48/2 |
| 7 | 19 | 67/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 74/2 |
| 9 | 12 | 86/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 97/2 |
| 11 | 13 | 110/2 |
| 12 | 15 | 125/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 132/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 136/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 145/3 |
| 16 | 15 | 160/3 |
| 17 | 9 | 169/3 |
| 18 | 8 | 177/4 |
| 19 | 9 | 186/5 |
| 20 | 9 | 195/6 |
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Hardik Pandya: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suryakumar Yadav: Kolkata Knight Riders - Official · CC BY 3.0
Quinton de Kock: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deepak Chahar: G. D. GOENKA SCHOOL, AGRA · CC BY 3.0
Tilak Varma: Buchi Babu Sana · CC BY 4.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Arshdeep Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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