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Photo: PaddyBriggs
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2023/24 · Men
13 Jan 2024 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 58%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 0% to 63% during the match (Central Districts: 38% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smithbowled · Doug Bracewell 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Doug Bracewell | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
| Nick Greenwoodbowled · Blair Tickner 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Blair Tickner | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Nick Kellycaught · Joey Field · Bevan Small 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joey Field · b Bevan Small | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 114.29 |
 Muhammad Abbascaught · Doug Bracewell · Joey Field1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Doug Bracewell · b Joey Field | 35 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 120.69 |
 |
| run out · Tom Bruce, Blair Tickner |
| 7 |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 116.67 |
| Troy Johnsoncaught · Jayden Lennox · Doug Bracewell 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jayden Lennox · b Doug Bracewell | 17 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Callum McLachlanbowled · Jayden Lennox3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jayden Lennox | 24 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 109.09 |
|---|
| Logan van Beeknot out 3 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 41* | 24 | 3 | 2 | 170.83 |
|---|
| Peter Younghusbandcaught · Doug Bracewell · Blair Tickner 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Doug Bracewell · b Blair Tickner | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Ian McPeakenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug Bracewell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Bevan Small0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Blair Tickner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Joey Field0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ajaz Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Lennox0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Nathan Smith, 0.2) · 2-15 (Nick Kelly, 1.5) · 3-21 (Nick Greenwood, 4.3) · 4-48 (Jesse Tashkoff, 7.0) · 5-72 (Muhammad Abbas, 10.2) · 6-88 (Troy Johnson, 13.0) · 7-120 (Callum McLachlan, 17.3) · 8-133 (Peter Younghusband, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 16/2 |
| 3 | 1 | 17/2 |
| 4 | 3 | 20/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 25/3 |
| 6 | 14 | 39/3 |
| 7 | 9 | 48/4 |
| 8 | 5 | 53/4 |
| 9 | 14 | 67/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 72/4 |
| 11 | 10 | 82/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 85/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 88/6 |
| 14 | 2 | 90/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 97/6 |
| 16 | 9 | 106/6 |
| 17 | 9 | 115/6 |
| 18 | 8 | 123/7 |
| 19 | 10 | 133/8 |
| 20 | 14 | 147/8 |
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Callum McLachlan: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Blair Tickner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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