Sunrisers HyderabadversusRoyal Challengers Bengaluru

22 May 2026 · T20

Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 55 runs

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs255/4 Royal Challengers Bengaluru20.0 overs200/4 Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 45%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Royal Challengers Bengaluru is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 44% to 100% during the match (Royal Challengers Bengaluru: 0% to 56%).

Biggest swings

3.6: Rasikh Salam to TM Head, TM Head out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 33% to 45%.
2nd inns 4.3: E Malinga to VR Iyer, VR Iyer out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 73% to 83%.
2nd inns 5.5: Sakib Hussain to V Kohli, V Kohli out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 80% to 88%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad255/4 Royal Challengers Bengaluru200/4

Innings 1