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Photo: St Kitts & Nevis Government; permission: https://www.flickr.com/photos/skngov/14733563912
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Bangladesh Women tour of West Indies · 2024/25 · Women
29 Jan 2025 · T20
Warner Park, St Kitts · Venue photographRecorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
West Indies started on 88%; West Indies batted first.
West Indies's chances ranged from 89% to 100% during the match (Bangladesh: 0% to 11%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qiana Josephstumped · Dilara Akter · Rabeya Khan 9 fours · 2 sixes | stumped · Dilara Akter · b Rabeya Khan | 63 | 36 | 9 | 2 | 175.00 |
 Hayley Matthewsbowled · Rabeya Khan6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rabeya Khan | 27 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 150.00 |
 Shemaine Campbellebowled · Fahima Khatun2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fahima Khatun | 11 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 110.00 |
 Deandra Dottincaught · Lata Mondal · Shorna Akter3 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Lata Mondal · b Shorna Akter | 49 |
| 20 |
| 3 |
| 5 |
| 245.00 |
| Jannillea Glasgowcaught · Shorna Akter · Fahima Khatun 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shorna Akter · b Fahima Khatun | 14 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Shabika Gajnabinot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 24* | 12 | 3 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Nerissa Craftonbowled · Fahima Khatun 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fahima Khatun | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Zaida Jamesnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fariha Trisna0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 14.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Sultana Khatun0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Lata Mondal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Rabeya Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Fahima Khatun0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 3 | 9.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Shorna Akter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-53 (Hayley Matthews, 5.3) · 2-70 (Shemaine Campbelle, 8.1) · 3-133 (Qiana Joseph, 12.4) · 4-160 (Deandra Dottin, 15.0) · 5-178 (Jannillea Glasgow, 17.2) · 6-180 (Nerissa Crafton, 18.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 34/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 42/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 52/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 54/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 64/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 70/1 |
| 9 | 18 | 88/2 |
| 10 | 21 | 109/2 |
| 11 | 11 | 120/2 |
| 12 | 10 | 130/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 137/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 143/3 |
| 15 | 17 | 160/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 166/4 |
| 17 | 11 | 177/4 |
| 18 | 3 | 180/6 |
| 19 | 11 | 191/6 |
| 20 | 10 | 201/6 |
Sharmin Akhter: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fahima Khatun: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nigar Sultana: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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