Quetta GladiatorsversusPeshawar Zalmi

27 Apr 2025 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Quetta Gladiators won by 64 runs

Quetta Gladiators20.0 overs178/7 Peshawar Zalmi15.2 overs114/10 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Quetta Gladiators started on 48%; Quetta Gladiators batted first.

Quetta Gladiators’s chance of winning (%) · Peshawar Zalmi is the rest

Quetta Gladiators's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Peshawar Zalmi: 0% to 60%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 1.4: Faheem Ashraf to Saim Ayub, Saim Ayub out. Quetta Gladiators up from 40% to 51%.
2nd inns 2.1: Mohammad Amir to Babar Azam, Babar Azam out. Quetta Gladiators up from 49% to 63%.
2nd inns 4.3: Mohammad Wasim to T Kohler-Cadmore, T Kohler-Cadmore out. Quetta Gladiators up from 63% to 78%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Quetta Gladiators178/7 Peshawar Zalmi114/10

Innings 1