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Photo: Mat Fascione
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
4 Jul 2025 · T20
Grace Road, Leicester · Venue photographRecorded result
Leicestershire started on 45%; Leicestershire batted first.
Leicestershire's chances ranged from 0% to 72% during the match (Birmingham Bears: 28% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rishi Patelcaught · Moeen Ali · Hasan Ali 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Moeen Ali · b Hasan Ali | 17 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 242.86 |
| Sol Budingercaught · George Garton · Danny Briggs 7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · George Garton · b Danny Briggs | 51 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 212.50 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Hain · b Hasan Ali | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Ali | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
| lbw · b Hasan Ali |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Richard Gleeson | 16 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 94.12 |
|---|
| Liam Trevaskiscaught · Sam Hain · Danny Briggs 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Hain · b Danny Briggs | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Logan van Beekcaught · Hasan Ali · Ed Barnard 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Hasan Ali · b Ed Barnard | 26 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 104.00 |
|---|
| Tom Scrivencaught · Tom Latham · Richard Gleeson 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Richard Gleeson | 19 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 111.76 |
|---|
| Sam Woodcaught · George Garton · Dan Mousley 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Garton · b Dan Mousley | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Josh Hullnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| George Garton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 21.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dan Mousley0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 12.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ed Barnard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.3 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-38 (Rishi Patel, 2.3) · 2-38 (Shan Masood, 2.4) · 3-69 (Rehan Ahmed, 5.1) · 4-71 (Louis Kimber, 5.5) · 5-89 (Sol Budinger, 8.5) · 6-101 (Liam Trevaskis, 11.0) · 7-102 (Ben Cox, 11.1) · 8-138 (Tom Scriven, 16.5) · 9-148 (Sam Wood, 19.0) · 10-154 (Logan van Beek, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 21 | 31/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 40/2 |
| 4 | 8 | 48/2 |
| 5 | 21 | 69/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 71/4 |
| 7 | 5 | 76/4 |
| 8 | 6 | 82/4 |
| 9 | 8 | 90/5 |
| 10 | 8 | 98/5 |
| 11 | 3 | 101/6 |
| 12 | 2 | 103/7 |
| 13 | 7 | 110/7 |
| 14 | 6 | 116/7 |
| 15 | 10 | 126/7 |
| 16 | 8 | 134/7 |
| 17 | 4 | 138/8 |
| 18 | 5 | 143/8 |
| 19 | 5 | 148/9 |
| 20 | 6 | 154/10 |
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.