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Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
10 Jan 2025 · T20
Bellerive Oval, Hobart · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Thunder started on 42%; Sydney Thunder batted first.
Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 0% to 54% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 46% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Konstascaught · Matthew Wade · Riley Meredith0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Wade · b Riley Meredith | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
 David Warnernot out7 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 88* | 66 | 7 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Matthew Gilkescaught · Matthew Wade · Chris Jordan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Wade · b Chris Jordan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
| Oliver Daviescaught and bowled · Billy Stanlake 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Billy Stanlake | 17 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| bowled · b Nikhil Chaudhary |
| 28 |
| 15 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 186.67 |
 Chris Greencaught · Nathan Ellis · Riley Meredith0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Ellis · b Riley Meredith | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
 Daniel Christianrun out · Charlie Wakim, Nathan Ellis · Nathan Ellis0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Charlie Wakim, Nathan Ellis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| George Gartonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Billy Stanlake0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Nathan Ellis0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 10.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Peter Hatzoglou0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nikhil Chaudhary0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-20 (Sam Konstas, 3.5) · 2-42 (Matthew Gilkes, 6.3) · 3-82 (Oliver Davies, 12.2) · 4-116 (Sam Billings, 15.4) · 5-147 (Chris Green, 19.0) · 6-151 (Daniel Christian, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 22/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 40/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 44/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 53/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 58/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 65/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 74/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 81/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 85/3 |
| 14 | 10 | 95/3 |
| 15 | 14 | 109/3 |
| 16 | 9 | 118/4 |
| 17 | 11 | 129/4 |
| 18 | 12 | 141/4 |
| 19 | 6 | 147/5 |
| 20 | 17 | 164/6 |
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Matthew Wade: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Daniel Christian: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Billy Stanlake: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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