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Women's Continental Cup · 2026 · Women
30 Aug 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Isle of Man more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Isle of Man started on 51%; Isle of Man batted first.
Isle of Man's chances ranged from 0% to 86% during the match (Turkey: 14% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Barnettcaught and bowled · H Celik 9 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b H Celik | 59 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 173.53 |
| L Moorelbw · Ezgi Nur Kilic 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ezgi Nur Kilic | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| R Overmanretired hurt · Ezgi Nur Kilic 0 fours · 0 sixes | retired hurt | 3* | 18 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| C Crowerun out · Suzan Turan, MS Ercin · H Celik 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Suzan Turan, MS Ercin | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Chloe Dilloncaught · G Keles · Reyyan Aliusta 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · G Keles · b Reyyan Aliusta | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 46.15 |
| Maisie Skillan |
| lbw · b Reyyan Aliusta |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Joanne Hicksbowled · K Canavarci 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b K Canavarci | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 23.08 |
|---|
| Anna Wilsonbowled · Reyyan Aliusta 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Reyyan Aliusta | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Amelia Griffithscaught and bowled · H Celik 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b H Celik | 4 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 19.05 |
|---|
| Grace Cottiernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 11 | 0 | 0 | 45.45 |
|---|
| Isabella Clarkenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 28 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezgi Nur Kilic0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 5 | 0 |
| K Canavarci0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 4 | 1 |
| Reyyan Aliusta0 maidens · 13 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 8.33 | 13 | 0 |
| H Celik0 maidens · 3 wides · 3 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 3 | 3 |
| S Ozkunduz0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Suzan Turan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-15 (L Moore, 2.2) · 2-86 (Lucy Barnett, 9.4) · 3-86 (C Crowe, 9.5) · 4-88 (Maisie Skillan, 10.3) · 5-101 (Chloe Dillon, 13.1) · 6-101 (Anna Wilson, 13.2) · 7-108 (Joanne Hicks, 15.4) · 8-117 (Amelia Griffiths, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 24/1 |
| 5 | 17 | 41/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 46/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 50/1 |
| 8 | 14 | 64/1 |
| 9 | 11 | 75/1 |
| 10 | 11 | 86/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 90/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 98/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 100/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 105/6 |
| 15 | 2 | 107/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 111/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 114/7 |
| 18 | 1 | 115/7 |
| 19 | 1 | 116/7 |
| 20 | 1 | 117/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.