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Women's Continental Cup · 2025/26 · Women
10 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Romania started on 46%; Romania batted first.
Romania's chances ranged from 0% to 62% during the match (Turkey: 38% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niroshi Kuruppubowled · Ezgi Nur Kilic 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ezgi Nur Kilic | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Rebecca Blakebowled · H Celik 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b H Celik | 23 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 135.29 |
| M Kearvellbowled · H Celik 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b H Celik | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| J Chirilabowled · S Yildirim 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b S Yildirim | 10 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 45.45 |
| Iuliana Munteanbowled · H Celik 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b H Celik | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| I Palliyalbw · G Ayan0 fours · 0 sixes |
| lbw · b G Ayan |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Gabriela Ionitalbw · Ezgi Nur Kilic 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ezgi Nur Kilic | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Cristina Cirligrun out · H Celik · S Yildirim 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · H Celik | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 26.67 |
|---|
| Alina Lupasculbw · Ezgi Nur Kilic 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ezgi Nur Kilic | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
|---|
| Daria Tanasebowled · S Yildirim 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b S Yildirim | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| M Marinnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 12 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Canavarci0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 7 | 0 |
| Ezgi Nur Kilic1 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 4.00 | 1 | 1 |
| H Celik0 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 6.00 | 0 | 3 |
| G Ayan0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 4 | 0 |
| S Yildirim1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (Niroshi Kuruppu, 4.0) · 2-36 (Rebecca Blake, 4.2) · 3-49 (M Kearvell, 6.5) · 4-49 (Iuliana Muntean, 7.0) · 5-57 (I Palliya, 8.0) · 6-58 (Gabriela Ionita, 8.3) · 7-65 (J Chirila, 10.0) · 8-71 (Alina Lupascu, 12.5) · 9-71 (Cristina Cirlig, 13.3) · 10-71 (Daria Tanase, 13.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 39/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 45/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 49/4 |
| 8 | 8 | 57/5 |
| 9 | 8 | 65/6 |
| 10 | 0 | 65/7 |
| 11 | 4 | 69/7 |
| 12 | 2 | 71/7 |
| 13 | 0 | 71/8 |
| 14 | 0 | 71/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.