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Ireland Women tour of India · 2024/25 · Women
15 Jan 2025 · ODI
Saurashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Rajkot · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 85%; India batted first.
India's chances ranged from 85% to 100% during the match (Ireland: 0% to 15%).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pratika Rawalcaught · Georgina Dempsey · FA Sargent 20 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Georgina Dempsey · b FA Sargent | 154 | 129 | 20 | 1 | 119.38 |
 Smriti Mandhanacaught · Ava Canning · Orla Prendergast12 fours · 7 sixes | caught · Ava Canning · b Orla Prendergast | 135 | 80 | 12 | 7 | 168.75 |
 Richa Ghoshbowled · Arlene Kelly10 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Arlene Kelly | 59 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 140.48 |
| Tejal Hasabniscaught · Laura Delany · Orla Prendergast 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laura Delany · b Orla Prendergast | 28 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 112.00 |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Orla Prendergast · b Georgina Dempsey |
| 15 |
| 10 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 150.00 |
 Jemimah Rodriguesnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Deepti Sharmanot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 137.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 7 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 15 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orla Prendergast0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 71 | 2 | 8.88 | 0 | 0 |
| Ava Canning0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 64 | 0 | 8.00 | 6 | 0 |
| Arlene Kelly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 66 | 1 | 9.43 | 0 | 0 |
| FA Sargent0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 68 | 1 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Georgina Dempsey0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 65 | 1 | 6.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Alana Dalzell0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 4 | 0 |
| Laura Delany0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 59 | 0 | 9.83 | 2 | 0 |
1-233 (Smriti Mandhana, 26.4) · 2-337 (Richa Ghosh, 38.4) · 3-387 (Pratika Rawal, 44.0) · 4-415 (Harleen Deol, 47.1) · 5-419 (Tejal Hasabnis, 48.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 22/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 29/0 |
| 5 | 12 | 41/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 49/0 |
| 7 | 10 | 59/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 65/0 |
| 9 | 17 | 82/0 |
| 10 | 8 | 90/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 94/0 |
| 12 | 4 | 98/0 |
| 13 | 2 | 100/0 |
| 14 | 7 | 107/0 |
| 15 | 2 | 109/0 |
| 16 | 8 | 117/0 |
| 17 | 14 | 131/0 |
| 18 | 11 | 142/0 |
| 19 | 4 | 146/0 |
| 20 | 11 | 157/0 |
| 21 | 14 | 171/0 |
| 22 | 6 | 177/0 |
| 23 | 11 | 188/0 |
| 24 | 14 | 202/0 |
| 25 | 15 | 217/0 |
| 26 | 9 | 226/0 |
| 27 | 7 | 233/1 |
| 28 | 6 | 239/1 |
| 29 | 8 | 247/1 |
| 30 | 9 | 256/1 |
| 31 | 6 | 262/1 |
| 32 | 11 | 273/1 |
| 33 | 11 | 284/1 |
| 34 | 4 | 288/1 |
| 35 | 11 | 299/1 |
| 36 | 18 | 317/1 |
| 37 | 4 | 321/1 |
| 38 | 11 | 332/1 |
| 39 | 5 | 337/2 |
| 40 | 12 | 349/2 |
| 41 | 10 | 359/2 |
| 42 | 12 | 371/2 |
| 43 | 5 | 376/2 |
| 44 | 11 | 387/3 |
| 45 | 5 | 392/3 |
| 46 | 11 | 403/3 |
| 47 | 12 | 415/3 |
| 48 | 4 | 419/4 |
| 49 | 9 | 428/5 |
| 50 | 7 | 435/5 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Minnu Mani: Davidjose365 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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